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DNDC模型对北京旱地农田N_2O排放的模拟对比分析

Keywords: DNDC模型,旱地农田,N2O排放,北京地区

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Abstract:

通过DNDC(Version77)模型和田间原位观测,对北京地区大豆农田的N2O排放特征进行了模拟与对比分析。结果表明,DNDC模型能较好地模拟田间实测到的大豆生长期内N2O排放通量、气温和土壤地表温度的变化和N2O排放对每日降水的响应。但模型还存在一些问题:对于干旱期和非农业活动期农田的N2O排放反应灵敏度不够,模型低估了干旱期和非农业活动期农田的N2O排放通量。总的来说,在以生长期为时间尺度的计算上,模拟和实测值总量相差不大,在将来北京地区旱地农田N2O排放量估算上有很强的应用价值。为了进一步确定影响大豆生长期内N2O排放的主要因子,本文还进行了敏感性实验分析。结果表明,在一定范围内,在其他条件不变的情况下,N2O-N排放模拟值对土壤初始表面有机碳含量的变化较为敏感,随着土壤初始表面有机碳含量的增加,N2O-N排放模拟值也随着线性增加;另外,N2O-N排放模拟值对降雨中N素的含量变化也较为敏感,随着降雨中N素的含量的升高,N2O-N排放模拟值也随着非线性增加。

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