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电网技术  2006 

一种新的促进厂网规划协调的整体框架与模型

, PP. 50-54

Keywords: 电力市场,电力规划,协调优化,协调因子,蒙特卡罗模拟法,厂网协调发展系数

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Abstract:

通过分析厂网分开后电力行业出现的新情况和电力市场改革的发展趋势,提出了新时期的电力规划新模式,引入协调因子来促进厂网规划的协调及共同承担规划风险。以计及可靠性的缺电成本和考虑经济性的输电利用成本作为规划协调变量,以全社会效益最大为目标,使用蒙特卡罗模拟法进行风险分析,结合投资(规划)决策者对效益、风险的理性认识,建立了电力市场环境下促进厂网规划协调的实用而新颖的数学模型。最后提出了采用厂网协调发展系数对电力规划进行评估,从而影响下一阶段的电力规划。后续文章将给出模型的算法和算例分析。

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