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电网技术  2011 

基于前景理论的发电商电量分配策略

, PP. 170-175

Keywords: 电力市场,电量分配,前景理论,价值函数,权重函数

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Abstract:

基于前景理论研究了有限理性前提下发电商的最优电量分配策略。首先在前景理论的框架下,分析了发电商的价值函数和概率权重函数,继而建立了一种计及发电商心理因素的电量分配决策模型。该模型同时考虑了价值函数和概率权重函数对发电商电量分配决策的影响,通过计算不同方案下发电商的前景效用值,得到前景值最大的方案作为发电商的最优分配方案。相比于传统的电量分配决策模型,所提出的决策模型更能反映发电商的心理愿望,为发电商的最优电量分配决策提供了一种新的途径。算例验证了该模型的可行性和有效性。

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