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电网技术  2013 

区域间风电投资收益风险对比分析模型

, PP. 713-719

Keywords: 风电效益,风险分析,敏感性分析,评价模型

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Abstract:

由于风电出力具有随机性和间歇性,风电的可并网量在一定程度上受到很大约束。结合我国当前风电发展相关政策,从政策、经济和风电消纳3个角度进行风电发展风险分析,并提出相应的风电效益分析模型。通过算例分析和敏感性分析发现,III、IV类风电资源区具有很好的发展前景,应该是未来的风电发展重心。

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