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弹道学报  2014 

速射火炮立靶密集度序列建模

Keywords: 立靶密集度,时间序列,相关性

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Abstract:

为了准确地分析速射火炮的立靶密集度,将时间序列分析方法引入射击效力分析,用时间序列建模方法对速射火炮的立靶密集度试验数据建立了数学模型,证明了立靶密集度数据的相关性是不可忽略的。模型比较与模型验证的结果表明,相对于一阶模型,该文建立的模型预测误差更小,精度更高,为更好地分析武器系统射击效力奠定了基础。

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