全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
科技导报  2015 

冲击地压危险性等级识别的随机森林模型及应用

DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2015.01.010, PP. 57-62

Keywords: 冲击地压,随机森林,变量重要度

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

为快速、准确地预测冲击地压危险性,借鉴随机森林理论,选取影响冲击地压的10项主要因素煤层、倾角、埋深、构造情况、倾角变化、煤厚变化、瓦斯浓度、顶板管理、卸压、响煤炮声作为判别因子,建立冲击地压危险性识别的随机森林模型.利用重庆砚石台矿24组实测数据作为学习样本建立随机森林分类器,在对样本分类的同时,计算预测变量的重要性值GI,发现构造情况为最重要的评价指标,其后是响煤炮声和倾角.利用其他12组现场数据作为预测样本对该模型进行测试,预测结果与实际情况吻合较好.

References

[1]  窦林名, 何学秋. 冲击地压防治理论与技术[M]. 徐州: 中国矿业大学 出版社, 2001. Dou Linming, He Xueqiu. Theory and technology of rock burst prevention[M]. Xuzhou: China University of Mining and Technology Press, 2001.
[2]  姚精明, 何富连, 徐军, 等. 冲击地压的能量机理及其应用[J]. 中南大 学学报: 自然科学版, 2009, 40(3): 808-813. Yao Jingming, He Fulian, Xu Jun, et al. Energy mechanism of rock burst and its application[J]. Journal of Central South University: Natural Science Edition, 2009, 40(3): 808-813.
[3]  段宏飞, 姜振泉, 朱术云, 等. 大埋深高地压弱结构面顶板岩层诱发冲 击地压离心模型试验[J]. 中南大学学报: 自然科学版, 2011, 42(9): 2774-2782. Duan Hongfei, Jiang Zhenquan, Zhu Shuyun, et al. Centrifuge model tests on rock brusting induced by great depth highly stressed roof strata of weak structural plane[J]. Journal of Central South University: Natural Science Edition, 2011, 42(9): 2774-2782.
[4]  国家煤矿安全监察局."十一五"期间(2006—2010年)全国煤矿事故 分析报告[R]. 北京: 国家煤矿安全监察局, 2011. China Administration of Coal Mine Safety. Report of the national coal mine accidents in"Eleven Five" period (2006—2010) [R]. Beijing: China Administration of Coal Mine Safety, 2011.
[5]  Zhou J, Li X B, Shi X Z. Long-term prediction model of rockburst in underground openings using heuristic algorithms and support vector machines[J]. Safety Science, 2012, 50(4): 629-644.
[6]  李文, 纪洪广, 武玉梁. 深井冲击地压发生机理分析及预测方法研究[J]. 中国矿业, 2007, 16(7): 105-107. Li Wen, Ji Hongguan, Wu Yulian. Mechanism analyses and forecast on deep mining rock burst[J]. China Mining Magazine, 2007, 16(7): 105- 107.
[7]  陈国祥, 窦林名, 曹安业, 等. 电磁辐射法评定冲击矿压危险等级及应 用[J]. 煤炭学报, 2008, 33(8): 866-870. Chen Guoxiang, Dou Linming, Cao Anye, et al. Assessment of rock burst danger and application on electromagnetic emission method[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2008, 33(8): 866-870.
[8]  李洪, 戴仁竹, 蒋金泉. 基于最大Lyapunov 指数的冲击地压预测模型[J]. 采矿与安全工程学报, 2006, 23(2): 215-219. Li Hong, Dai Renzhu, Jiang Jinquan. Predicting model of rock burst based on Lyapunov index[J]. Journal of Mining & Safety Engineering, 2006, 23(2): 215-219.
[9]  赵洪波, 茹忠亮. 冲击地压预测的PSO-SVM模型[J]. 岩石力学与工程 学报, 2007, 26(增1): 3479-3483. Zhao Hongbo, Ru Zhongliang. PSO-SVM model for prediction of rock burst[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2007, 26 (Suppl 1): 3479-3483.
[10]  尹光志, 谭钦文, 魏作安. 基于混沌优化神经网络的冲击地压预测模 型[J]. 煤炭学报, 2008, 33(8): 871-875. Yin Guangzhi, Tan Qinwen, Wei Zuoan. Combined optimization model of rock-burst prediction based on chaos optimization and BP neural networks[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2008, 33(8): 871-875.
[11]  闫河. 基于遗传算法和人工神经网络相结合的冲击地压预测的研究[D]. 重庆: 重庆大学, 2002. Yan He. The research of rockburst prediction basing on genetic algorithm and bp artificial neural network[D]. Chongqing: Chongqing University, 2002.
[12]  周健, 史秀志. 冲击地压危险性等级预测的Fisher判别分析方法[J]. 煤炭学报, 2010, 35(增1): 22-27. Zhou Jian, Shi Xiuzhi. Fisher discriminant analysis method for prediction of classification of rock burst risk[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2010, 35(Suppl 1): 22-27.
[13]  金佩剑, 王恩元, 刘晓斐. 冲击地压危险性综合评价的突变级数法研 究[J]. 采矿与安全工程学报, 2013, 30(2): 256-261. Jin Peijian, Wang Enyuan, Liu Xiaofei. Catastrophe progression method on comprehensive evaluation of rock burst[J]. Journal of Mining & Safety Engineering, 2013, 30(2): 256-261.
[14]  Breiman L. Random forests[J]. Machine Learning, 2001, 45(1): 5-32.
[15]  方匡南, 吴见彬, 朱建平, 等. 随机森林方法研究综述[J]. 统计与信 息论坛, 2011, 26(3): 32-38. Fang Kuangnan, Wu Jianbin, Zhu Jianping, et al. A review of technologies on random forests[J]. Statistics & Information Forum, 2011, 26(3): 32-38.
[16]  Liaw A, Wiener M. Classification and regression by random forest[J]. R News, 2002, 2(3): 118-122.
[17]  秦锋, 杨波, 程泽凯. 分类器性能评价标准研究[J]. 计算机技术与发 展, 2006, 16(10): 85-88. Qin Feng, Yang Bo, Chen Zekai. Research on measure criteria in evaluating classification performance[J]. Computer Technology and Development, 2006, 16(10): 85-88.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133