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转弯航路碰撞风险模型

, PP. 88-92

Keywords: 空中交通管理,转弯航路,碰撞风险,时间间隔分布,标称间隔,飞机类型

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Abstract:

引入时间变量和时间间隔变量,分析了飞机之间任意时刻的标称间隔和碰撞风险,建立了基于时间间隔分布、飞机流率、机型比例与转弯角的碰撞风险模型,计算了转弯航路的碰撞风险,分析了不同参数对碰撞风险的影响。分析结果表明碰撞风险是随着航段起始点到转弯点的距离与飞机流率的增大而逐渐增大,随着飞机到达转弯点的最小时间间隔的增大而逐渐减小。可见,此模型简单可靠。

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