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基于集对分析理论的污染减排预警评价模型及改进应用

DOI: 10.15918/j.tbit1001-0645.2015.02.018

Keywords: 污染减排 指标 集对分析 预测 预警 GIS

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Abstract:

我国在"十二五"期间继续推行减排政策,目标污染物在原有COD和SO2基础上新增NH3—N和NOx. 为促进减排监督管理顺利进行,督促各省市减排目标的完成,深入分析各地区社会经济和工业运行等因素对减排目标实施的影响,首先建立了基于社会、经济、能源、环境复合系统的减排预警指标体系;随后运用集对分析理论和方法,对各地区4大污染物在"十二五"末期的减排形势进行了预测评价及预警分析;此外,鉴于新疆、西藏等地区的污染排放与其它省份存在一定差异的实际情况,对评价模型进行了改进应用;最后,运用GIS软件将减排预警评价结果进行地图图形展示,以便于污染物减排监督管理工作的开展

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