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航运市场综合运价指数构建

, PP. 119-122

Keywords: 航运市场,综合运价指数,拉氏公式,Logit模型

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Abstract:

为了建立更全面反映国际航运市场运价波动以及景气程度的运价指数,以现有的主要运价指数为基础,采用拉氏公式构建了干散货、油轮和集装箱运输市场的综合运价指数.以这三大指数为依据,选用Logit模型,采用移动平均法构建具有动态权重的全球范围航运综合运价指数.历史数据验证的结果表明,该指数具有较高的实用价值.

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