武靖源,韩文秀,徐 杨,等.洪灾经济损失评估模型研究―(Ⅰ)直接经济损失评估[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998(11):53-57. WU Jingyuan,HAN Wenxiu,XU Yang,et al.A study on the evaluation theory and mathematical model for economic loss of flood damage ―(Ⅰ)direct economic loss[J].Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice,1998 (11):53-57.(in Chinese)
[2]
Commission on Geosciences,Environment and Resources (CGER).The Impacts of Natural Disasters: a Framework for Loss Estimation [M].Washington,D.C: National Academy Press,1999.
[3]
Rhodes J,Trent R.Economics of floods scour and bridge failures//Hsieh S,Su T,Feng W,et al.Proceedings of the Hydraulic Engineering Conference.San Francisco:ASCE,1993:25-30.
[4]
陈万秀.洪涝灾害损失评估系统一遥感与GIS技术应用研究[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,1999:23-44. CHEN Wanxiu.Flood Damage Assessment System of a Remote Sensing and GIS Technology Application Research [M].Beijing: China Water Conservancy and Hydropower Press,1999: 23-44.(in Chinese)
[5]
丁志雄.基于RS和GIS的洪涝灾害损失评估技术方法研究.北京:中国水利水电科学研究院,2004. DING Zhixiong.Flood Damage Assessment Method Based on GIS and RS .Beijing: China Institute of water resources and hydropower research,2004.(in Chinese)
[6]
冯平,崔广涛,钟昀.城市洪涝灾害直接经济损失的评估与预测[J].水利学报,2001,8(3):64-68. FENG Ping,CUI Guangtao,ZHONG Yun.Evaluation and prediction of urban flood direct economic loss[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2001,8(3):64-68.(in Chinese)
[7]
黄涛珍,王晓东.BP神经网络在洪涝灾损失快速评估中的应用[J].河海大学学报:自然科学版,2003,7(4):456-460. HUANG Taozhen,WANG Xiaodong.Fast evaluation of flood and water-logging losses by BP network[J].Journal of Hohai University:Natural Sciences,2003,7(4):456-460.(in Chinese)
[8]
金菊良,魏一鸣,杨晓华.基于遗传算法的洪水灾情评估神经网络模型探讨[J].灾害学,1998,13(2):6-11. JIN Juliang,WEI Yiming,YANG Xiaohua.Neural network model of flood disaster evaluation based-on genetic algorithm [J].Journal of Catastrophology,1998,13(2):6-11.(in Chinese)
[9]
金菊良,张欣莉,丁晶.评估洪水灾情等级的投影寻踪模型[J].系统工程理论与实践,2002,22(2):140-144. JIN Juliang,ZHANG Xing,DING Jin.Projection pursuit model for evaluating grade of flood disaster loss [J].Systems Engineering Theory & Practice,2002,22(2):140-144.(in Chinese)
[10]
魏一鸣,金菊良,杨存建,等.洪水灾害风险管理理论[M].北京:科学出版社,2002:124-147. WEI Yiming,JIN JuLiang,YANG Cunjian,et al.The Theory of Risk Management of Flood Disaster [M].Beijing: Science Press,2002:124-147.(in Chinese)
[11]
Das S,Lee R.A nontraditional methodology for flood stage-damage calculation [J].Water Resources Bulletin,1988,24(6):75-80.
[12]
Cochrane H.Economic loss: myth and measurement [J].Disaster Prevention and Management,2004,13(4): 290-296.
[13]
Toshihisa T.Economic impacts of Kobe earthquake: a quantitative evaluation after 13 years//Proceedings of the 5th International ISCRAM Conference-Washington,DC,USA,May 2008.
[14]
张幸.系统动力学在解动态投入产出模型中的应用[J].数量经济技术经济研究,1988(4):44-48. ZHANG Xing.System dynamics in the solution of the dynamic input-output model application [J].The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics,1988(4):44-48.(in Chinese)
[15]
高燕.防洪决策中灾情评估系统的研究.上海:东华大学,2006. GAO Yan.Disaster Evaluation System in Flood Control Decision-making Research .Shanghai: Dissertation for the master degree of Donghua University,2006.(in Chinese)
[16]
FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency).HAZUS 99 Estimated Annualized Losses for the United States [M].Washington DC: Federal Emergency Management Agency,2001.
[17]
Parker D J,Green C H,Thompson P M.Urban Flood Protection Benefits,a Project Appraisal Guide [M].Brookfield: Gower Technical Press,1987.
[18]
黄渝祥,杨宗跃,邵颖红.灾害间接经济损失的计量[J].灾害学,1994,9(3):7-12. HUANG Yuxiang,YANG Zhongyao,SHAO Yinghong.The measurement of indirect cost of disaster damage[J].Journal of Catastrophology,1994,9(3):7-12.(in Chinese)
[19]
张晓.中国水旱灾害的经济学分析[M].北京:中国经济科学出版社,2000. ZHANG Xiao.The Economics Analysis of the Flood and Drought Disaster in China [M].Beijing: China Economic Science Press,2000.(in Chinese)
[20]
Cochrane H C.Economic Impacts of a Midwestern Earthquake.The Quarterly Publication of NCEER (National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research),1997,11(1): 1-5.
[21]
张显东,沈荣芳.灾害与经济增长关系的定量分析[J].自然灾害学报,1995,4(4):23-26. ZHANG Xiandong,SHEN Rongfang.The quantitative study on the relationship between disasters and economic growth [J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1995,4(4): 23-26.(in Chinese)
[22]
Hallegatte S,Hourcade J C,Dumas P.Why economic dynamics matter in assessing climate change damages: illustration on extreme events [J].Ecological Economics,2007,62 (2):330-340.
[23]
Douglas J,Robert R L.Economies of Water Resources Planning [M].NY: McGraw-hill Book Company,1971.
[24]
徐嵩龄.灾害经济损失概念及产业关联型间接经济损失计量[J].自然灾害学报,1998,7(4): 7-15. XU Songling.The concept of economic loss by disasters and measuring the sector-related-type indirect economic loss [J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1998,7(4): 7-15.(in Chinese)
[25]
黄渝祥.费用-效益分析[M].上海:同济大学出版社,1987. HUANG Yuxiang.The Cost-benefit Analysis [M].Shanghai: Tongji University Press,1987.(in Chinese)
[26]
武靖源,韩文秀,徐杨,等.洪灾经济损失评估模型研究(Ⅱ)―间接经济损失评估[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998 (12): 84-88. WU Jingyuan,HAN Wenxiu,XU Yang,et al.A study on the evaluation theory and mathematical model for economic loss of flood damage ―(Ⅰ) direct economic loss[J].Systems Engineering Theory & Practice,1998 (12): 84-88.(in Chinese)
[27]
刘希林,赵 源.自然灾害间接经济损失评估//福建师范大学. 地貌、环境与发展会议论文集.福州:福建师范大学出版社,2007:433-443. LIU Xiling,ZHAO Yuan. The indirect economic loss estimation of natural disaster//Fujian Normal University. Proceedings of the Conference on Geomorphology, Environment and Development. Fuzhou:Fujian Normal University Press, 2007:433-443.(in Chinese)
[28]
McGill T,Bracken J,Davis D,et al.Methodologies for Evaluating the Vulnerability of National Systems:Methodologics and Examples[M].Arlington,VA: Institute for Defense Analyses,1972.
[29]
Cochrane D, Harold C.Knowledge of Private Loss and Efficiency of Protection, Presented at the Conference on the Economics of Natural Hazards and Their Mitigation. Gainesville: University Press of Florida,1984.
[30]
Hill G A, Peter C G. Managing the U.S. Economy in a Post attack Environment: a System Dynamics Model of Viability [M]. California: Analytical Assessments Corp, 1979:25-41.
[31]
Peterson,David W, et al.Development of a Dynamic Model to Evaluate Economic Recovery Following a Nuclear Attack[M].Pugh-Roberts Associates,Inc.Cambridge,Massachusetts,1980.
[32]
Rose A,Liao S Y.Modeling regional economic resilience to disasters: a computable general equilibrium analysis of water service disruptions [J].Journal of Regional Science,2005,4(5):75-112.
[33]
Tsuchiya S,Tatano H,Okada N.Economic loss assessment due to railroad and highway disruptions[J].Economic Systems Research,2007,19 (2):147-162.
[34]
Rose A,Benavides J,Chang S E,et al.The regional economic impact of an earthquake: direct and indirect effects of electricity lifeline disruptions [J].Journal of Regional Science,1997,37: 437-458.
[35]
Okuyama Y.Modeling spatial economic impacts of an earthquake: Input-output approaches [J].Disaster Prevention and Management,2004,13 (4): 297-306.
[36]
Tierney K. Impacts of recent disasters on businesses: the 1993 Midwest floods and the 1994 Northridge earthquake. Jones B. Economic Consequences of Earthquakes: Preparing for the Unexpected. Buffalo: NCEER, 1997:15-23.