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基于OrderedProbit模型的区域客运通道需求层次识别

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2014.05.28, PP. 124-127

Keywords: 交通运输,区域客运通道,OrderedProbit模型,需求层次,traffictransportation,regionalpassengertransportcorridor,OrderedProbitmodel,demandlevel

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Abstract:

:？为保证区域客运通道运力资源的合理配置，选取客运需求层次为因变量，个人收入、出行目的、心理偏好为控制变量，建立了客运需求层次识别的OrderedProbit模型。根据成渝客运通道的相关调查数据，利用Stata软件的oprobit命令实现参数估计，并借助MATLAB软件的插值技术，描绘出该通道内控制变量对因变量的作用效果变化特征三维图。结果表明：此需求层次识别模型可以良好的表征不同影响因素下旅客的需求层级。

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