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城市道路交通事故严重程度影晌因素分析

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2014.01.25, PP. 111-114

Keywords: 交通波,TransModeler,动态分配,动态路阻函数,平均行程时间,trafficsafety,Logisticmodel,trafficaccidentseverity

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Abstract:

:?根据乌鲁木齐市5年的交通事故统计资料,将交通事故严重程度分为严重事故和非严重事故两类。以交通事故严重程度为因变量,从影响因素中初步选取13个候选自变量,分析候选自变量与因变量之间的相关性,获得最具相关性的因素组合。采用二项Logistic模型建立交通事故严重程度分析模型,对模型参数进行了估计,并对模型的可靠性进行了分析。相关研究可以为降低交通事故严重程度提供依据。

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