全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

基于代表性异质投资者的汇率动态模型

, PP. 28-34

Keywords: 汇率,代表性异质投资者,动态模型

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

?传统汇率模型通常忽略投资者的异质性对市场造成的影响。随着对外汇市场高频动态行为研究的深入,异质投资者模型显示出对金融市场运行规律强大的解释能力。本文依据异质投资者理论,结合外汇市场的实际特点,对由供求关系主导的孤立的外汇市场,推导并建立了基于投资者异质决策的汇率的非线性离散动态模型;并采取试验经济学的研究方法,对该模型进行了仿真。通过对不同条件下的仿真结果的研究可知,在由投资者主导的外汇市场中,基础投资者的投资行为是汇率发生振荡的原因,技术投资者的投资行为使汇率的振幅放大。

References

[1]  Andersen T G, Bollerslev T. Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets [J]. Journal of Empirical Finance, 1997, 6(4): 115-158.
[2]  Tesfatsion L, Judd K L. Handbook of computational economics: agent based computational economics [M]. Amsterdam:Elsevier, 2006.
[3]  Kahneman D, Tversky A. Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk [J].Econometrica, 1979, 2(47): 263-292.
[4]  Cabrales A, Hoshib T. Heterogeneous beliefs, wealth accumulation, and asset price dynamics [J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1996, 6(20): 1073-1100.
[5]  Day R, Huang W,Bulls J. Bears and market sheep [J]. Economic Behavior and Organization,1990, 6(14):299-329.
[6]  Grauwe P D, Dewachter H,Embechts M. Exchange rate theory:chaotic models of foreign exchange [M]. Cambridge: Blackwell, 1993.
[7]  Lux T,Marchesi M. Journal of economic behavior and organization: special issue on heterogeneous interacting agents in financial markets [J]. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,2002, 12(49): 143-147.
[8]  Campbell J Y. Asset pricing at the millennium [J]. Journal of Finance, 2000, 7(55): 1515-1567.
[9]  Frankel J A, Froot K A. Chartists, fundamentalists, and trading in the foreign exchange market [J]. America Economic Review, 1990, 80(2): 181-185.
[10]  Kaizoji T. Speculative bubbles and crashes in stock markets: an interacting-agent model of speculative activity [J]. Physica A, 2000, 7(287): 493-506.
[11]  Challet D, Marsili M, Zhang Yicheng.From minority games to real markets [J]. Quant Finance, 2001, 1(1): 168-176.
[12]  Schütz G M, de Almeida Prado F P,Harris R J,Belitsky V. Short-time behaviour of demand and price viewed through an exactly solvable model for heterogeneous interacting market agents [J]. Physica A, 2009, 7(388): 4126-4144.
[13]  Anatoly B,Schmidt J. Modeling the demand-price relations in a high-frequency foreign exchange market [J]. Physica A,1999, 7(271): 507-514.
[14]  龚朴,高原. 异质交易者对次级债产品定价的影响 [J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2009, 12(29): 31-37.
[15]  Shefrin H, Statman M.Behavioral capital asset pricing theory [J]. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 1994, 4(29): 323-349.
[16]  Lux T J. The socio-economic dynamics of speculative markets: interacting agents, chaos, and the fat tails of return distributions [J]. Economic Behavior and Organization, 1998, 3(33): 143-165.
[17]  朱宝军, 吴冲锋. 异质投资者与资产定价: 一个新的资本资产定价模型 [J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2005, 6(6): 154-161.
[18]  陈彦斌, 周业安. 异质性财富偏好和资产定价 [J]. 经济学, 2006, 4(5): 361-378.
[19]  熊和平.消费习惯异质偏好与动态资产定价纯交换经济情形 [J].经济研究, 2005, 7(11): 91-100.
[20]  Takagi S. Exchange rate expectation: a survey of survey studies [J]. IMF Staff Papers, 1991, 38(1): 156-183.
[21]  Allen H,Taylor M P. Chartist, noise and fundamentals in the London foreign exchange market [J]. Economic Journal, 1990, 341(100): 49-59.
[22]  Meese R, Rogoff K. Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies: do they fit out of sample?[J]. Journal of Economic Behavior, 1983, 14(1-2): 3-24.
[23]  Bask M. Dimensions & lyapunov exponents from exchange rate series [J]. Chaos, Selitons & Fractals,1996, 2(12): 2199-2214.
[24]  Bask M. A positive lyapunov exponent in swedish exchange rates?[J]. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2002, 2(14): 1295-1304.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133