全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

经济增长、产业结构对碳排放的影响分析——基于中国的省际面板数据

, PP. 161-166

Keywords: 经济增长,产业结构,碳排放,面板数据模型

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

?本文在环境库兹涅茨曲线的基础上,加入结构调整因素,并基于中国30个省市区2000年到2009年的面板数据,建立个体固定效应模型,以研究中国经济增长、产业结构对碳排放的影响。结果表明:碳排放量和经济增长、产业结构分别存在长期均衡的协整关系;碳排放量和经济增长间呈现倒U型特征,当人均GDP为64585元时,曲线达到拐点;第二产业比重和碳排放量成正比关系,在人均GDP保持不变时,第二产业比重每下降1%,可使得人均碳排放量下降0.3217%,这表明,产业结构调整是影响低碳经济发展的重要因素。本文认为,发展低碳经济必须从高碳产业入手,通过技术攻关实现高碳产业"低碳化",大力发展清洁能源;另外,要大力发展第三产业,即资源节约型、环境友好型产业,加快新兴低碳产业的发展,逐步减少国民经济对第二产业的过分依赖。

References

[1]  Grossman G M, Krueger A B. Environment impact of a north American free trade agreement. Working paper 3941, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1991.
[2]  Selden T M, Song Daqing. Environmental quality and development: is there a Kuznets Curve for air pollution emissions?[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1994, 27(2): 147-162.
[3]  Roberts J T, Grimes P E.Carbon intensity and economic development 1962-91: a brief exploration of the environmental Kuznets Curve [J]. World Development, 1997, 25(2): 191-198.
[4]  Dinda S. A theoretical basis for the environmental Kuznets curve [J]. Ecological Economics, 2005, 53 (3): 403-413.
[5]  Verbeke T, Clercq M D. The income-environment relationship: evidence from a binary response model [J]. Ecological Economics, 2006, 59 (4): 419-428.
[6]  杜婷婷, 毛锋, 罗锐. 中国经济增长与CO2排放演化探析 [J]. 中国人口,资源与环境, 2007, 17(2): 94-99.
[7]  庄贵阳. 低碳经济:气候变化背景下中国的发展之路[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 2008.
[8]  査冬兰, 周德群. 中国工业能源消耗与CO2排放影响效应研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2007, 15(S1): 621-626.
[9]  Zhang Xingping,Cheng Xiaomei. Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China [J]. Ecological Economics, 2009, 68: 2706-2712.
[10]  高丽君, 刘正林. 区域分层次能源消费人均碳排放分解分析[J]. 中国管理科学, 2010, 18(S1): 516-520.
[11]  Chebbi H E. Long and short-run linkages between economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Tunisia [J]. Middle East Development Journal, 2010, 2(1): 139-158.
[12]  Minihan E S,Wu Z P. Economic structure and strategies for greenhouse gas mitigation [J]. Energy Economics, 2011, 5(11): 1016-1026.
[13]  Liu Chunmei, Duan Maosheng, Zhang Xiling,et al. Empirical research on the contributions of industrial restructuring to low-carbon development [J]. Energy Procedia, 2011, 5: 834-838.
[14]  Zhang Xiaoqing, Ren Jianlan. The relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and industrial structure adjustment for Shandong province [J]. Energy Procedia, 2011, 5: 1121-1125.
[15]  徐国泉, 刘则渊, 姜兆华. 中国碳排放的因素分解模型及实证分析:1995-2004 [J]. 中国人口、资源与环境, 2006, (6): 158-161.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133