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基于信息更新的两阶段鲁棒-随机优化调配模型研究

, PP. 67-77

Keywords: 信息更新,阶段划分,两阶段调配决策,鲁棒优化,随机规划,地震救援

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Abstract:

?在突发事件的应对中,应急决策过程的灾情信息具有动态性、不确定性等特征,从而使得整个应急救援过程中的决策都必须随信息更新而不断调整,本文在调研国内外相关研究的基础上,以地震为背景提出了基于信息更新的资源调配决策问题。文章结合灾情信息更新的特征,给出了应急救援响应的阶段划分;以此为基础建立了两阶段鲁棒-随机优化模型,通过虚拟储备库点及虚拟临时分发中心点的设计,实现了第一阶段调配结果对第二阶段调配决策的后效性调整决策;根据鲁棒优化及随机优化的特点,设计了相应的原始-对偶及L-ShapedMethod算法对模型进行求解;最后,通过CPLEX软件编程求解,并进行情景生成下的算例分析,与其他方法比较分析,证明了文章所设计的模型在灾情信息更新下的优势。

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