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考虑弯道几何要素和交通量影响的汽车行驶速度预测模型

, PP. 47-57

Keywords: 道路工程,平曲线,回归分析,运行速度,交通量,车道宽度

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Abstract:

？为了实现对弯道半径、转角、路宽等多个几何线形要素的协同控制,选取了14个有代表性的运行速度模型,使用回归方法建立了侧向容许加速度模型,用其可以计算出半径为R的弯道速度|提出了等效半径的概念,即车辆在曲中位置的实际轨迹半径Re,通过对Re观测数据的回归分析,分别获得了曲线转角影响模型和通道宽度影响模型|最后分析了不同半径条件下交通量对行驶速度的影响,通过求出平均行驶速度与运行速度之间的差值ΔV,建立了ΔV与R和交通量之间的关系模型,并对3条公路运行速度进行了仿真。结果表明:应用该模型得到的运行速度曲线能够同时反映出弯道半径、转角、通道宽度的影响,能够帮助设计者实现对这3个要素的协同控制|根据速度曲线还可以获得不同交通量水平下的旅行时间,进而预测出所设计公路的服务水平。

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