全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

基于多失效模式可靠度的曲线路段行车风险分析

, PP. 36-42

Keywords: 道路工程,道路安全,多失效模式,可靠性,蒙特卡罗抽样

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

?根据车辆在曲线路段的事故类型,确定了车辆侧滑、侧翻以及停车视距不足3种行车失效模式的极限状态方程,建立了考虑多失效模式的车辆曲线路段行车可靠性的概率故障树分析模型,并采用蒙特卡罗抽样模拟求解。选取山西省某山区一级公路为例,分别计算了道路11个曲线路段的行车失效概率,并进一步通过定义敏感因子,分析了路段各影响行车安全的危险因素。研究结果表明:可靠性指标可以作为定量化的安全评价指标来反映道路行车安全,实现对各路段间相对安全性能比较及潜在危险路段的识别;敏感因子反映了各危险因素对行车风险的影响程度,为今后安全改善决策提供了依据。

References

[1]  NAVIN F P D.Safety Factors for Road Design:Can They Be Estimated?[J].Transportation Research Record,1990,1280:181-189.
[2]  EASA S M.Reliability-based Design of Sight Distance at Railroad Grade Crossings[J].Transportation Research Part A,1994,28(1):1-15.
[3]  ISMAIL K,SAYED T.Risk-based Highway Design:Case Studies from British Columbia,Canada[J].Transportation Research Record,2010,2195:3-13.
[4]  周洪彬,田雨宝,宋广珍.具有失效模式机械构件的失效概率计算[J].东北重型机械学院学报,1994,18(4):357-361.
[5]  ZHOU Hong-bin,TIAN Yu-bao,SONG Guang-zhen.Calculating of the Failure Probability of Mechanical Component with Failure Modes[J].Journal of Northeast Heavy Machinery Institute,1994,18(4):357-361.
[6]  GILLESPIE T D.Fundamentals of Vehicle Dynamics[M].Warrendale:SAE International,2000.
[7]  ANDJUS V,MALETIN M.Speeds of Cars on Horizontal Curves [J].Transportation Research Record 1998,1612:42-47.
[8]  TARKO A,DAVIS G,SAUNIER N,et al.Surrogate Measures of Safety[C]//TRB.Proceedings of the ANB20 2009 Annual Meeting.Washington DC:TRB,2009:1-13.
[9]  EL KOURY J,HOBEIKA A G.Assessing the Risk in the Design of Passing Sight Distances [J].Journal of Transportation Engineering,2007,133(6):370-377.
[10]  ZHENG Z.Application of Reliability Theory to Roadway Geometric Design [D].Vancouver:The University of British Columbia,1997.
[11]  LERNER N. Age and Driver Perception-reaction Time for Sight Distance Design Requirements[C]//ITE.Proceedings of the Institute of Transportation Engineers 65th Annual Meeting.Washington DC:ITE,1995:624-628.
[12]  LAMM R,PSARIANOS B,MAILAENDER T.Highway Design and Traffic Safety Engineering Handbook [M].New York:McGraw-Hill Companies,1999.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133