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基于耗散结构理论的公路快速货运系统演化机理

, PP. 120-126

Keywords: 公路运输经济,公路快速货运系统,耗散结构理论,演化机理,罗杰斯特方程,涨落

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Abstract:

?针对公路快速货运系统复杂的人因社会经济系统特性,利用耗散结构理论探讨了公路快速货运系统的开放性、非平衡性、涨落和非线性特征;分析了在公路快速货运系统这样一个非平衡的开放系统中,系统组成要素在非线性作用下产生的“巨涨落”是产生稳定、有序结构的内在机制。应用非线性方程,依据系统耗散机理,以公路快运货物量为系统支配变量,外部经济条件为系统控制参数,基础设施条件为系统影响参数,建立单区域和整个区域条件下的公路快速货运系统演化模型,并分析其演化机理与演化条件,揭示了单区域和整个区域公路快速货运系统的演化特点,为按照客观规律制定保障系统快速发展的相应政策或措施提供参考。

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