US DOE Report.20% Wind Energy by 2030:Increasing wind energy’s contribution to US electricity supply [EB/OL].[2012-10-.http://www1.eere.energygov/ wind/pdfs/41869.pdf.
[2]
丁明,李生虎,黄凯.基于蒙特卡罗模拟的概率潮流计算[J].电网技术,2001,25(11):10-22.Ding Ming,Li Shenghu,Huang Kai.Probabilistic load flow analysis based on Monte-Carlo simulation[J].Power System Technology,2001,25(11):10-22(in Chinese).
[3]
邓威,李欣然,徐振华,等.考虑风速相关性的概率潮流计算及影响分析[J].电网技术,2012,36(4):45-50.Deng Wei,Li Xinran,Xu Zhenhua,et al.Calculation of probabilistic load flow considering wind speed correlation and analysis on influence of wind speed correlation[J].Power System Technology,2012,36(4):45-50(in Chinese).
[4]
于晗,钟志勇,黄杰波,等.采用拉丁超立方采样的电力系统概率潮流计算方法[J].电力系统自动化,2009,32(21):32-35,81.Yu Han,Chung Chiyung,Wong Kitpo,et al.A probabilistic load flow calculation method with Latin hypercube sampling[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2009,32(21):32-35,81(in Chinese).
[5]
陈雁,文劲宇,程时杰.考虑输入变量相关性的概率潮流计算方法[J].中国电机工程学报,2011,31(22):80-87.Chen Yan,Wen Jingyu,Cheng Shijie.Probabilistic load flow analysis considering dependencies among input random variables[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2011,31(22):80-87(in Chinese).
[6]
李雪,李渝曾,李海英.几种概率潮流算法的比较与分析[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2009,21(3):12-17.Li Xue,Li Yuzeng,Li Haiying.Comparison and analysis of several probabilistic power flow algorithms[J].Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA,2009,21(3):12-17(in Chinese).
[7]
胡泽春,王锡凡.基于半不变量法的随机潮流误差分析[J].电网技术,2009,33(18):32-37.Hu Zechun,Wang Xifan.Error analysis of the probabilistic load flow based no cumulant method[J].Power System Technology,2009,33(18):32-37(in Chinese).
[8]
石东源,蔡德福,陈金富,等.计及输入变量相关性的半不变量法概率潮流计算[J].中国电机工程学报,2012,32(28):104-113.Shi Dongyuan,Cai Defu,Chen Jinfu,et al.Probabilistic load flow calculation based on cumulant method considering correlation between input variables[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2012,32(28):104-113(in Chinese).
[9]
朱星阳,刘文霞,张建华.考虑大规模风电并网的电力系统随机潮流[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(7):77-85.Zhu Xingyang,Liu Wenxia,Zhang Jianhua.Probabilistic load flow method considering large-scale wind power integration[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2013,33(7):77-85(in Chinese).
[10]
艾小猛,文劲宇,吴桐,等.基于点估计和Gram-Charlier展开的含风电电力系统概率潮流实用算法[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(16):16-22.Ai Xiaomeng,Wen Jinyu,Wu Tong,et al.A practical algorithm based on point estimate method and Gram-Charlier expansion for probabilistic load flow calculation of power systems incorporating wind power[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2013,33(16):16-22(in Chinese).
[11]
杨欢,邹斌.含相关性随机变量的概率潮流三点估计法[J].电力系统自动化,2012,36(15):51-56.Yang Huan,Zou Bin.A three-point estimate method for solving probabilistic power flow problems with correlated random variables[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2012,36(15):51-56(in Chinese).
[12]
Su C L.Probabilistic load-flow computation using point estimate method[J].IEEE Transactions on Power Systems,2005,20(4):1843-1851.
[13]
Morales J M,Pérez-Ruiz J,Point estimate schemes to solve the probabilistic power flow[J].IEEE Transactions Power Systems,2007,22(4):1594-1601.
[14]
Ai X,Wen J,Wu T,et al.A discrete point estimate method for probabilistic load flow based on the measured data of wind power[J].IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications,2013,49(5):2244-2252.
[15]
Mohammadi M,Shayegani A,Adaminejad H.A new approach of point estimate method for probabilistic load flow[J].Electrical Power and Energy Systems,2013(51):54-60.
[16]
Morales J M,Baringo L,Conejo A J,et al.Probabilistic power flow with correlated wind sources[J].IET Generation,Transmission & Distribution,2010,4(5):641-651.
[17]
Li W.Probabilistic transmission system planning[M].New Jersey:IEEE and Wiley & Sons,2011.
[18]
Lin Z,Li W.Restrictions of point estimate methods and remedy[J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2013(111):106-111.
[19]
Hong H P.An efficient point estimate method for probabilistic analysis[J].Reliability Engineering & System Safety,1998(59):261-167.
[20]
Box G E P,Cox D R.An analysis of transformations[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society,Series B (Methodological),1964,26(2):211-252.
[21]
UW EE Organization & Structure.Power systems test case archive[EB/OL].[2012-10-.http://www.ee. washington.edu/research/pstca/.
[22]
KNMI.Hourly wind data available online[EB/OL].[2013-12-.http://www.knmi.nl/samenw/hydra/register/.
[23]
ASOS Network.ASOS/AWOS data download.[EB/OL].[2013-12-.http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/request/ download.phtml.