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考虑风速有界性的概率潮流点估计方法

DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.2015.07.007, PP. 1606-1612

Keywords: 风力发电,风速有界性,概率潮流,点估计方法

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Abstract:

基于点估计方法提出一种考虑风速有界性的概率潮流方法。风速具有有界性,而点估计方法本身可能产生超出边界的采样值,导致概率潮流无法准确计算或根本无法计算。在点估计方法中引入一般变换与幂变换相互配合的方法,保证按点估计采样的风速计算值满足边界要求,进而确保概率潮流计算能够在正确的物理意义下进行。以多个实际风电场的历史风速数据作为输入数据,对IEEE14节点系统进行仿真分析,验证了该文方法的正确性和有效性。

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