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科学通报  2011 

物种间不确定性相互关系分析:一种基于非参数估计的变系数模型

, PP. 1771-1779

Keywords: 物种相互作用,非参数估计,相关系数,变系数分析,混沌震荡,密度依赖性,不确定相互关系

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Abstract:

物种间相互作用的研究通常假定物种间相互作用具有某种固定的模式,因此线性或者非线性参数回归模型(如指数分布或者logistic模型)被广泛用来描述物种间的相互作用.然而,这些模型假定了相互作用关系物种之间具有特定响应函数,而这个假设可能并不适用于真正的生物群落,如物种间相互作用关系随不同环境变化的混沌系统.为了用一个更精确的方法来描述这种关系,我们以榕树-榕小蜂为模式系统,建立了一个变系数分析模型进行物种间相互关系的分析.在这个模型中,用非参数估计方法分析物种间相关系数如何随其他变量(函数)的变化而变化.当其他因素对相关系数的影响效应可以用一个指定的参数模型来描述时,新方法就会转化为传统的参数相关分析.对于经验数据的分析,新方法更具有普遍性和灵活性,其与传统方法不同之处在于我们可以研究物种间的相互作用是否会随着某些因素变化而变化,或者找出维持或改变物种间的相互作用其他关联因素.这种方法在理论研究和应用研究(如流行病学和群落管理)领域都有着重要的应用价值.

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