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科学通报  2011 

青藏高原中东部2485年来温度变化幅度、速率、周期、原因及未来趋势

, PP. 2042-2051

Keywords: 青藏高原中东部,温度,幅度,速率,周期,原因,未来趋势

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Abstract:

分析了根据树木年轮资料重建的青藏高原中东部过去2485年来温度变化幅度、速率、周期、原因及未来趋势,发现研究区极端气候事件与全球同步出现,如中世纪暖期、小冰期和20世纪增温等.历史上最大的温度变幅和速率都发生在“东晋事件”(343~425AD)期间,而非20世纪后半期.过去青藏高原中东部地区温度序列存在显著的1324,800,199,110,2~3a的准周期(P

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