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科学通报  2011 

利用树轮宽度重建过去238年来内蒙古喀喇沁年降水量

, PP. 2052-2059

Keywords: 内蒙古喀喇沁,油松,树木年轮宽度,降水,重建

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Abstract:

根据树轮气候学实验步骤,经过精确交叉定年,建立了内蒙古喀喇沁地区油松树木年轮宽度年表.相关函数分析表明,树轮宽度年表与上年8月至当年7月的降水总量显著相关,在此基础上设计转换方程,重建了该地区1771~2008AD之间上年8月至当年7月的降水总量,方差解释量达49.3%(调整自由度后为47.1%).重建序列可与邻近赤峰-围场地区已有的树轮降水序列进行良好对比.在1771~2008AD期间有8个降水量较多的时期(高于多年平均值)和7个降水量较少的时期(低于多年平均值),分别反映了东亚夏季风较强和较弱的时期.功率谱分析检测出重建降水序列含有120,80,8和2a左右的准周期.

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