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树轮记录的酒泉近240a来6~9月气温变化

, PP. 47-54

Keywords: 树轮宽度,密度,气温变化,温度序列,酒泉

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Abstract:

利用采自祁连山西部肃南大火烧沟的树轮样本,研制出树轮宽度年表和密度年表。通过相关分析发现,大火烧沟的树轮晚材宽度、早材宽度与酒泉6~9月平均最高气温存在显著的负相关,由此可较好地重建酒泉地区近240a来6~9月平均最高气温,交叉检验表明重建结果是稳定可靠的。1768-2007年,酒泉6~9月平均最高气温为26.62℃。以过去240a重建温度的平均值为基准,暖期有1786-1836年、1851-1885年、1924-1933年、1959-1967年、1988-2007年;冷期有1768-1785年、1837-1850年、1886-1923年、1934-1958年、1968-1987年。温度重建序列具有36.6a,11.3a,6.1a,4.8a,3.4a,3.0a,2.6a和2.4a的周期变化,并在1804年、1824年、1852年、1886年、1906年、1934年、1971年和1985年发生了突变。

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