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准噶尔盆地南缘降水脉冲量级分布及其变化规律

, PP. 495-502

Keywords: 气候变化,降水脉冲,干旱区,荒漠生态系统,准噶尔盆地

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Abstract:

对干旱区降水脉冲发生规律的分析,将为理解荒漠生态系统结构与功能提供新的视野。选择准噶尔盆地南缘的温泉、精河、乌苏、蔡家湖、奇台和巴里坤6个气象站近50多年的逐日降水资料,分析不同量级降水脉冲对年总降水频次和降水量的贡献以及变化规律。结果表明小降水脉冲(≤5mm)占到全年总降水频次87.5%,而大降水脉冲(>10mm)只占到了4.3%。然而,小降水脉冲对年降水量的贡献为47.5%,大降水脉冲却贡献26.6%。近50多年来,准噶尔盆地南缘的年降水量有显著增加,但是,年降水频次的变化却不显著。这可以归结为小脉冲呈下降趋势,而大脉冲则显著增加。总之,近50多年来,准噶尔盆地南缘的降水脉冲在放大。

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