全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

电力系统随机潮流及其安全评估应用研究综述

, PP. 257-270

Keywords: 随机潮流,模型,算法,风电,安全评估

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

随着电网运行环境的改变尤其是风电大规模并网,系统状态将更加复杂多变,给电网分析及安全评估工作提出了更高要求。随机潮流是解决该问题的有力工具。本文比较全面地对电力系统随机潮流模型、方法及其电网安全评估应用等方面进行了评述。首先,对常规系统随机潮流相关研究成果进行了系统的综述,详细介绍了随机潮流相关概念与模型,对随机潮流模型、求解方法进行了分类梳理,剖析了各类模型的建立方式,阐述了各种求解方法的思想,分析了各模型、方法的优劣并进行了展望。其次,总结了风电这一非常规随机因素引入系统后的含风电场随机潮流当前研究热点及进展,并通过探讨后续亟需关注的问题,展望了大规模风电并网后系统随机潮流模型、方法研究发展趋势。最后,综述了随机潮流在电力系统静态安全评估方面的应用情况,指出了随机潮流应用于安全评估后续研究方向,以期为新环境下大电网安全分析实用化技术提供科学依据。

References

[1]  Lun Tao, Han Pengfei, He Jingbo, et al. summaries and analysis on large-scale blackout occurred abroad in recent years[J]. Engergy of China, 2012, 34(2): 41-43, 33.
[2]  Joo S K, Kim J C, Liu C C. Empirical analysis of the impact of 2003 blackout on security values of U. S. utilities and electrical equipment manufacturing firms[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2007, 22(3): 1012-1018.
[3]  Tang Yong, Bu Guangquan, Yi Jun. Analysis and lessons of the blackout in indian power grid on July 30 and 31, 2012[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2012, 32(25): 167-174.
[4]  张丽英, 叶延路, 辛耀中, 等. 大规模风电接入电网的相关问题及措施[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2010, 30(25): 1-9.
[5]  Zhang Liying, Ye Tinglu, Xin Yaozhong, et al. Problems and measures of power grid accommodating large scale wind power[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2010, 30(25): 1-9.
[6]  Usaola J. Probabilistic load flow with correlated wind power injections[J]. Electric Power Systems Research, 2010, 80(5): 528-536.
[7]  刘怡芳, 张步涵, 李俊芳, 等. 考虑电网静态安全风险的随机潮流计算[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2011, 31(1): 59-64.
[8]  Aboreshaid S, Billinton R. Probabilistic evaluation of voltage stability[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1999, 14(1): 342-347.
[9]  Borkowska B. Probabilistic load flow[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1974, 93(3): 752-759.
[10]  丁明, 李生虎, 洪梅. 电力系统概率分析中的K均值聚类负荷模型[J]. 电力系统自动化, 1999, 23(19): 51-54.
[11]  Ding Ming, Li Shenghu, Hong Mei. The K-means cluster based load model for power system probabilistic analysis[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 1999, 23(19): 51-54.
[12]  Pei Z, Lee S T. Probabilistic load flow computation using the method of combined cumulants and Gram-Charlier expansion[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2004, 19(1): 676-682.
[13]  Allan R N, Borkowska B, and Grigg C H. Probabilistic analysis of power flows[J]. Proceedings of the Institution of Electrical Engineers, 1974, 121(12): 1551-1556.
[14]  Dopazo J F, Klitin O A, Sasson A M. Stochastic load flow[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1975, 94(2): 299-309.
[15]  Tian W D, Sutanto D, Lee Y B, et al. Cumulant based probabilistic power system simulation using Laguerre polynomials[J]. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 1989, 4(4): 567-574.
[16]  R N Allan, A M Leite de Silva. Probabilistic load flow using multilinearisations[J]. IEE Proceedings C: Generation Transmission and Distribution, 1981, 128(5): 280-287.
[17]  A. M. Leite da Silva and V. L. Arienti. Probabilistic load flow by a multilinear simulation algorithm[J]. IEE Proceedings C: Generation Transmission and Distribution, 1990, 137(4): 276-282.
[18]  Sokierajski M. A method of stochastic load flow calculation[J]. Archiv fur Elektrotechnik, 1978, 60(1): 37-40.
[19]  Huang Jinan, Wu Weijing. The calculation of probab-ilistic load flow remaining nonlinearity[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 1986, 10(6): 3-12.
[20]  Li Xue, Li Yuzeng, Li Haiying. Comparison and analysis of several probabilistic power flow algorithms[J]. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA, 2009, 21(3): 12-17.
[21]  Gan Li, Xiaoping Zhang. Comparison between two probabilistic load flow methods for reliability assessment[C]. IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting, Calgary, Canada, 2009: 1-7.
[22]  Su C L, Lu C N. Two-point estimate method for quantifying transfer capability uncertainty[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2005, 20(2): 573-579.
[23]  Morales J M, Perez-Ruiz J. Point estimate schemes to solve the probabilistic power flow[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2007, 22(4): 1594-1601.
[24]  Ding Ming, Li Shenghu, Huang Kai. Probabilistic load flow analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation[J]. Power System Technology, 2001, 25(11): 10-14, 22.
[25]  周阳洋. 重要抽样法在概率潮流中的应用[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2011.
[26]  李俊芳, 张步涵. 基于进化算法改进拉丁超立方抽样的概率潮流计算[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2011, 31(25): 90-96.
[27]  Li Junfang, Zhang Buhan. Probabilistic load flow based on improved latin hypercube sampling with evolutionary algorithm[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2011, 31(25): 90-96.
[28]  李俊芳, 张步涵, 刘怡芳, 等. 考虑随机变量相关性的交流概率潮流风险评估[J]. 高电压技术, 2010, 36(2): 519-524.
[29]  Li Junfang, Zhang Buhan, Liu Yifang, et al. Risk assessment about nonl inear AC probabilistic load flow considering correlation between stochastic variables[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2010, 36(2): 519-524.
[30]  Mori H, Wenjun Jiang. A new probabilistic load flow method using mcmc in consideration of nodal load correlation[C]. 15th International Conference on Intelligent System Applications to Power Systems, Curitiba, Brazil: IEEE, 2009: 1-6.
[31]  Hu Zechun, Wang Xifan. A probabilistic load flow method considering branch outages[J]. IEEE Transac- tions on Power Systems, 2006, 21(2): 507-514.
[32]  Allan R N, Grigg C H, Al-Shakarchi M R G. Numerical techniques in probabilistic load flow problems[J]. International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering, 1976, 10(4): 853-860.
[33]  王锡凡, 王秀丽. 电力系统的随机潮流分析[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 1988, 22(3): 87-97.
[34]  Wang Xifan, Wang XiuLi. Probabilistic load flow analysis in power systems[J]. Journal of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 1988, 22(3): 87-97.
[35]  董雷, 杨以涵, 张传成, 等. 综合考虑网络结构不确定性的概率潮流计算方法[J]. 电工技术学报, 2012, 27(1): 210-216.
[36]  Leite da Silva A M, Allan R N, Soares S M et al. Probabilistic load flow considering network outages[J]. IEE Proceedings C: Generation Trans- mission and Distribution, 1985, 132(3): 139-145.
[37]  胡泽春, 王锡凡, 张显, 等. 考虑线路故障的随机潮流[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2005, 25(24): 26-33.
[38]  Hu Zechun, Wang Xifan, Zhang Xian, et al. Probabilistic load flow method considering branch outages[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2005, 25(24): 26-33.
[39]  王成山, 郑海峰, 谢莹华, 等. 计及分布式发电的配电系统随机潮流计算[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2005, 29(24): 39-44.
[40]  Wang Chengshan, Zheng Haifeng, Xie Yinghua, et al. Probabilistic power flow containing distributed generation in distribution system[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2005, 29(24): 39-44.
[41]  周建华, 袁越. 含风电场电力系统的Cornish-Fisher级数概率潮流计算[J]. 电力自动化设备, 2011, 31(12): 68-71.
[42]  Bie Zhaohong, Liu Hui, Li Gan, et al. Voltage fluctuation of a power system with wind farms integrated by probabilistic load flow[J]. Journal of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 2008, 42(12): 1500-1505.
[43]  牛焕娜, 黄秀琼, 蔡壮, 等. 含风力发电的电力系统电压越限概率评估[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2012, 40(18): 1-6.
[44]  Niu Huanna, Huang Xiuqiong, Cai Zhuang, et al. Probabilistic evaluation of voltage limit violations of power system with wind power generators integrated [J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2012, 40(18): 1-6.
[45]  程卫东. 含风电场电力系统的概率潮流[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2010.
[46]  Xie Kaigui, Roy B. Considering wind speed correlation of WECS in reliability evaluation using the time-shifting technique[J]. Electric Power Systems Research, 2009, 79(4): 687-693.
[47]  杨欢, 邹斌. 含相关性随机变量的概率潮流三点估计法[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2012, 36(15): 51-56.
[48]  卢继平, 丁然. 计及风电场有功无功相关性的随机潮流计算[J]. 微计算机信息, 2010, 26(31): 158-161.
[49]  Lu Jiping, Ding Ran. Probabilistic load flow calculation of power system integrated with wind farms considering PQ relativity[J]. Microcomputer Information, 2010, 26(31): 158-161.
[50]  Su Chun Lien. Stochastic evaluation of voltages in distribution networks with distributed generation using detailed distribution operation models[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2010, 25(2): 786-795.
[51]  Yu Yixin, Wang Dongtao, Wang Chengshan, et al. Framework of security region based probabilistic security assessment for power transmission system[J]. Journal of Tianjin University, 2007, 40(6): 699-703.
[52]  Gao Lizhi, Wu Junyong. Voltage risk evaluation based on improved probabilistic load flow considering intermittent wind farm[C]. 2012 Asia- Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference, Shanghai, China, 2012: 1-5.
[53]  李碧君, 方勇杰, 徐泰山. 关于电网运行安全风险在线评估的评述[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2012, 36(18): 171-177.
[54]  Li Bijun, Fang Yongjie, Xu Taishan. Review on online operational security risk assessment of power system[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2012, 36(18): 171-177.
[55]  伦涛, 韩鹏飞, 贺静波, 等. 近年国外大停电事故概述及分析[J]. 中国能源, 2012, 34(2): 41-43, 33.
[56]  汤勇, 卜广全, 易俊. 印度“7. 30”、“7. 31”大停电事故分析及启示[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2012, 32(25): 167-174.
[57]  Liu Yifang, Zhang Buhan, Li Junfang, et al. Probabilistic load flow algorithm considering static security risk of the power system[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2011, 31(1): 59-64.
[58]  Allan R N, Al-Shakarchi M R G. Probabilistic A. c. load flow[J]. Proceedings of the Institution of Electrical Engineers, 1976, 123(6): 531-536.
[59]  Allan R N, Al-Shakarchi M R G. Probabilistic techniques in a. c. load-flow analysis[J]. Proceedings of the Institution of Electrical Engineers, 1977, 124(2): 154-160.
[60]  Usaola J. Probabilistic load flow in systems with wind generation[J]. IET Generation Transmission & Distribution, 2009, 3(12): 1031-1041.
[61]  Brucoli M, Torelli F, Napoli R. Quadratic probabilistic load flow with linearly modeled dispatch[J]. Electrical Power and Energy Systems, 1984, 17(3): 138-146.
[62]  黄进安, 吴惟静. 保留潮流方程非线性的电力系统概率潮流计算[J]. 电力系统自动化, 1986, 10(6): 3-12.
[63]  刘浩, 侯博渊. 保留非线性的快速P-Q分解随机潮流分析[J]. 电力系统及其自动化学报, 1996, 8(1): 8-17.
[64]  Liu Hao, Hou Boyuan. The analysis of probabilistic load flow retaining nonlinearity[J]. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA, 1996, 8(1): 8-17.
[65]  M adrigal M, Ponnambalam K, Q uintana V H. Probabilistic optimal power flow[C]. IEEE Canadian Conference on Electrical and Computer Engineering, Waterloo, Canada, 1998: 385-388.
[66]  李雪, 李渝曾, 李海英. 几种概率潮流算法的比较与分析[J]. 电力系统及其自动化学报, 2009, 21(3): 12-17.
[67]  Caramia P, Carpinelli G, Varilone P. Point estimate schemes for probabilistic three-phase load flow[J]. Electric Power Systems Research, 2010, 80(2): 168-175.
[68]  丁明, 李生虎, 黄凯. 基于蒙特卡罗模拟的概率潮流计算[J]. 电网技术, 2001, 25(11): 10-14, 22.
[69]  Yu H, Chung C Y, Wong K P, et al. Probabilistic load flow evaluation with hybrid Latin hypercube sampling and cholesky decomposition[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2009, 24(2): 661-667.
[70]  丁明, 查轶美, 李生虎. 包含统一潮流控制器的概率潮流研究[J]. 合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版), 2003, 26(1): 1-5.
[71]  Ding Ming, Zha Yimei, Li Shenghu. Probabilistic load flow computation concerning UPFC[J]. Journal of Hefei University of Technology (Natural Science), 2003, 26(1): 1-5.
[72]  Allan R N, Leite de S A M, Burchett R C. Evaluation methods and accuracy in probabilistic load flow solutions[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1981, 100(5): 2539-2546.
[73]  Cooley J W, Lewis P A W, Welch P D. The fast Fourier transform and its applications[J]. IEEE Transactions on Education, 1969, 12(1): 27-34.
[74]  Dong Lei, Yang Yihan, Zhang Chuancheng, et al. Probabilistic load flow considering network configuration uncertainties[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2012, 27(1): 210-216.
[75]  胡泽春, 王锡凡. 基于半不变量法的随机潮流误差分析[J]. 电网技术, 2009, 33(18): 32-37.
[76]  Hu Zechun, Wang Xifan. Error analysis of the proba-bilistic load flow based on cumulant method[J]. Power System Technology, 2009, 33(18): 32-37.
[77]  Richard Von Mises. Mathematical theory of probability and statistics[M]. New York and London: Academic Press, 1964.
[78]  郑睿敏, 李建华, 李作红, 等. 考虑尾流效应的风电场建模以及随机潮流计算[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 2008, 42(12): 1515-1520.
[79]  Zheng Ruimin, Li Jianhua, Li Zuohong, et al. Modeling of large-scale wind farms in the probabilistic power flow analysis considering wake effects[J]. Journal of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 2008, 42(12): 1515-1520.
[80]  段玉兵, 龚宇雷, 谭兴国, 等. 基于蒙特卡罗模拟的微电网随机潮流计算方法[J]. 电工技术学报, 2011, 26(Sup 1): 274-278.
[81]  Duan Yubing, Gong Yulei, Tan Xingguo, et al. Probabilistic power flow calculation in microgrid based on Monte Carlo simulation[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2011, 26(Sup 1): 274-278.
[82]  Zhou Jianhua, Yuan Yue. Probabilistic load flow calculation based on Cornish-Fisher expansion for power system with wind farm[J]. Electric Power Automation Equipment, 2011, 31(12): 68-71.
[83]  别朝红, 刘辉, 李甘, 等. 含风电场电力系统电压波动的随机潮流计算与分析[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 2008, 42(12): 1500-1505.
[84]  邓威, 李欣然, 徐振华, 等. 考虑风速相关性的概率潮流计算及影响分析[J]. 电网技术, 2012, 36(4): 45-50.
[85]  Deng Wei, Li Xinran, Xu Zhenhua, et al. Calculation of probabilistic load flow considering wind speed correlation and analysis on influence of wind speed correlation[J]. Power System Technology, 2012, 36(4): 45-50.
[86]  Qiang Fu, Yu D, Ghorai J. Probabilistic load flow analysis for power systems with multi-correlated wind sources[C]. IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, San Diego, USA, 2011: 1-6.
[87]  Morales J M, Baringo L, Conejo A J, et al. Probabilistic power flow with correlated wind sources[J]. IET Generation, Transmission and Distribution, 2010, 4(5): 641-651.
[88]  Yang Huan, Zou Bin. A three-point estimate method for solving probabilistic power flow problems with correlated random variables[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2012, 36(15): 51-56.
[89]  石东源, 蔡德福, 陈金富, 等. 计及输入变量相关性的半不变量法概率潮流计算[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2012, 32(28): 104-113.
[90]  Shi Dongyuan, Cai Defu, Chen Jinfu, et al. Probabilistic load flow calculation based on cumulant method considering correlation between input variables[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2012, 32(28): 104-113.
[91]  Muscolino G, Ricciardi G. Probability density function of MDOF structural systems under non- normal delta-correlated inputs[J]. Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, 1999, 168(4): 121-133.
[92]  IBM Corporation. Smart grid method and model[R]. Beijing: IBM Corporation, 2010.
[93]  Kim T K, Choo J B, Lee S H, et al. Security assessment for bus voltages using Probabilistic load flow[C]. 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Iowa, USA: IEEE, 2004: 888-893.
[94]  余贻鑫, 王东涛, 王成山, 等. 基于安全域的输电系统概率安全评估系统框架[J]. 天津大学学报, 2007, 40(6): 699-703.
[95]  张传成. 概率潮流在静态安全分析中的应用[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2008.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133