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基于频率动态特性的电力系统频率失稳概率评估

, PP. 212-220

Keywords: 风险评估,频率失稳,蒙特卡洛仿真,低频减载,旋转备用

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Abstract:

提出一种电力系统频率失稳风险评估方法,该方法计及了旋转备用的频率动态特性,建立了低频减载作用下的频率稳定分析模型。基于非序贯蒙特卡洛仿真,计算分析了失稳概率、失稳频率、期望切负荷量和频率动态指标,实现了对频率稳定性的概率量化评估。探讨了旋转备用容量变化、低频切机容量变化对频率稳定性的影响,并计算了在多层负荷模型中计及和不计及不确定性两种情况下的频率稳定年度指标。IEEERTS79系统算例分析表明所提方法能从概率角度全面深入评价电力系统的频率稳定性,可为低频减载配置方案的合理性和机-网的协调性提供一定参考依据。

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