Arnold J G, Williams J R, Nicks A D, et al. SWRRB: A basin scale simulation model for soil and water resources management. College Station: Texas A&M Press, 1990.
Houghton J T, Ding Y, Griggs D J, et al. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. United Kingdom and New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001: 608-617.
[5]
Arnold J G, Srinivasan R, Muttiah R S, et al. Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment (Part Ⅰ): Model development. Journal of American Water Resources Association, 1998, 34(1): 73-89.
[6]
Qin D H, Solomon S. Summary for policymakers, Climate change 2007, The physical science basis. United Kingdom and New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007: 589-662.
[7]
Neitsch S L, Arnold L G, Kiniry J R, et al. Soil and water assessment tool. Theoretical documentation version 2000.College Station: Texas Water Resources Institute, 2002.
[8]
Qin D H, Solomon S. Summary for Policymakers, Climate change 2007, Mitigation of Climate Change. United Kingdom and New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007: 27-32.
[9]
Knisel W G. CREAM: A field scale model for chemicals, runoff, and erosion from agricultural management systems. Conservation Research Report No 26.1980.
[10]
Cox P. Stephenson D. A changing climate for prediction. Science, 2007, 317(13): 207-208.
[11]
Leonard R A, Knisel W G, Still D A. GLEAMS: Groundwater loading effects of agricultural management systems. Transaction of the American Society of Agricultural Engineers, 1987, 30(5): 1403-1418.
[12]
Hawkins E, Sutton R. The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull Amer Meteor Soc, 2009, 90(8): 1095-1107.