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1982-2010年中国县域经济发展时空格局演变

DOI: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2014.01.012, PP. 102-113

Keywords: 变差函数,空间自相关,时空格局,县域经济发展,中国

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Abstract:

研究县域经济发展格局对揭示区域经济发展空间演化机制和实现县域经济的可持续发展具有重要的理论意义。基于中国2352个县域单元1982、1990、2000和2010年的人均GDP数据,采用空间关联技术和变差函数分析了近30年来中国县域经济发展格局的演化特点并探讨了其演化机制。结果表明中国县域经济发展和增长存在正的空间自相关性;1982年以来,经济发展的空间集聚程度逐渐增加,空间依赖程度增强;东部和华北北部地区是县域经济发展的热点区;县域经济发展存在空间呈异质性,经济发展的空间分异格局中的随机成分随时间推移不断降低;中国东南—西北向经济发展的均质性相对较好,空间差异较小;历史基础、经济区位、资源禀赋和区域发展政策等是中国县域经济发展格局演化的主要驱动因素。

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