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基于矢量的城市扩张多智能体模拟——以广州市番禺区为例

DOI: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2014.02.006, PP. 202-210

Keywords: NetLogo,城市扩张,多智能体模拟,广州市番禺区,矢量数据

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Abstract:

运用自下而上的多智能体建模方法构建城市扩张模型,研究城市扩张的基本特征和规律,对新型城镇化建设具有重要的理论和现实意义。但传统的多智能体模拟大多是基于栅格数据构建,不同的格网大小、邻域形状及邻域大小将产生不同的模拟结果。为克服传统栅格数据受模拟尺度的影响,采用城市土地利用现状图,构建矢量多智能体城市扩张动态模型。智能体依据“宜居性”评价指标,并遵从个人偏好,选择合适区位,模拟城市扩张的时空动态过程。将模型应用于广州市番禺区,模拟了其2003-2008年城市扩张情况。最后将模拟结果与实际土地利用现状图进行对比,结果表明,地块的转化精度为63.09%,非转化精度为90.74%,总精度为85.83%,具有较好的模拟精度,可以为新型城镇化建设提供有效的决策支持。

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