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重庆市武隆县农地流转下农业劳动力对耕地撂荒的不同尺度影响

DOI: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2014.04.012, PP. 552-560

Keywords: 尺度,撂荒,农地流转,农业劳动力,重庆市武隆县

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Abstract:

在农地流转市场日趋完善的背景下,农户间的耕地流转无疑会缓解因部分农户劳动力不足造成的耕地撂荒现象,但仅从农户尺度上分析难以揭示农业劳动力数量与耕地撂荒间的关系。运用重庆市武隆县17个乡镇40个自然村的308份农户调查数据,通过二分类Logistic回归模型、简单相关和偏相关分析,从农户和村庄两个层次上探讨农业劳动力对耕地撂荒的影响程度及农地流转对两者关系的影响。结果显示①农户尺度上亩均农业劳动力对耕地是否撂荒的影响不显著,而在村庄尺度上显著。②亩均务农劳动力与耕地撂荒规模的偏相关回归分析中,控制耕地流转和不控制流转条件下,农户尺度上两者的偏相关系数和简单相关系数分别为-0.138和-0.027,前者在1%水平上显著,而后者不显著;村庄尺度上,控制流转和不控制流转的相关系数分别为-0.273和-0.294,均在5%水平上显著。③在农地流转市场较为完善的地区,选择在村庄尺度上进行农业劳动力对耕地撂荒影响分析研究是比较合理的。

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