全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

洪水灾害脆弱性研究进展

DOI: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2009.01.006, PP. 41-46

Keywords: 脆弱性,风险,洪水,经济损失,灾损曲线

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

洪水灾害是当今世界最严重的自然灾害之一,洪灾经济损失及风险评估是防洪减灾领域的一项基础性工作,而脆弱性的确定是评估模型的关键。文章在对自然灾害脆弱性评估方法总结的基础上,着重对洪水情景模拟中代表脆弱性的灾损率曲线开展探讨,对灾损曲线的起源、建立方法和综合运用的趋势进行研究。国外保险业与政府开展此类工作较早,相比于国外已经取得的丰硕研究成果而言,国内灾损率研究远远不能为决策提供有效的指导,这与我国面临的巨大洪灾风险不相称。政府、保险等部门与科研工作急需结合起来,填补城市洪灾脆弱性研究空白,多参数综合调研、深入各种承灾体内部系统而细致地开展灾损率调查,对于减少未来洪灾影响,具有非常重要的实际意义。

References

[1]  Smith D I. Flood damage estimation?A review of urban stage -damage curves and loss functions. Water SA, 1994,20(3):231~238.
[2]  KGS Group. Red River Basin Stage-damage Curves Update and Preparation of Flood Damage Maps. Final Report, Intermational Joint Comission,2000.
[3]  USACE. Sacramento and San Joaquin River Basin, California. Post-Flood Assessment for 1983, 1986, 1995, and 1997.U.S.Army Corps of Engineers, Sacramento District, 1999.
[4]  USACE. Economic Guidance Memorandum (EGM)01-03,Generic Depth-Damage Relationships, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Memorandum, CECW -PG4, Washington, DC, 2000.
[5]  USACE. Economic Guidance Memorandum (EGM)04~01, Generic Depth -Damage Relationships,U.S.Army Corps of Engineers Memorandum, CECW-PG10, Washington, DC, 2003.
[6]  苏明道,张龄方,林美君等.国科会专题研究计划成果报 告———基隆河流域淹水损害评估模式与相关资料库建 立之研究(二).台北,国立台湾大学生物环境系统工程 学系暨研究所.2002. http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/ 246246/10732.
[7]  Gissing A, Blong R. Accounting for variability in commercial flood damage estimation. Australian Geographer, 2004,35(2):209~222.
[8]  MOC (1996). Flood Damage Statistics in Japan. Japan, River Engineering Bureau, Ministry of Construction, 1996.
[9]  Experian. Great Britain MOSAIC Descriptions along with Separate Data Tables for Flood Damage. Experian, Nottingham, U.K., 2000.
[10]  Dutta D, Herath S, Musiake K. A mathematical model for flood loss estimation. Journal of Hydrology, 2003, 277(1): 24~49.
[11]  Penning-Rowsell E, Johnson C. The Benefits of Flood and Coastal Defence: Techniques and Data for 2003. Flood Hazard Research Centre, Middlesex University.
[12]  Buchele B, Kreibich H, Kron A et al. Flood-risk mapping: Contributions towards an enhanced assessment of extreme events and associated risks. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,2006,(6): 485~503.
[13]  Kelman I. Physical Flood Vulnerability of Residential Properties in Coastal, Eastern England. Cambridge: University of Cambridge, 2002.
[14]  FEMA. HAZUS -MH, Flood Model: Technical Manual, Federal Emergency Management Agency,2003.
[15]  Clausen L K. Potential Dam Failure: Estimation of Consequences, and Implications for Planning. Middlesex: Middlesex Polytechnic,1989.
[16]  陈秀万. 洪水灾害损失评估系统-遥感与GIS 技术应用 研究. 北京:中国水利水电出版社,1999.
[17]  万庆. 洪水灾害系统分析与评估. 北京: 科学出版社, 1999.
[18]  林俊. 建筑物水灾破坏经济损失浅析. 建筑技术开发, 2006,33(1):107~109.
[19]  黄大鹏,刘闯,彭顺风. 洪灾风险评价与区划研究进展. 地理科学进展, 2007,26(4):11~22.
[20]  Berning C. Loss functions for structural flood mitigation measures. Water SA, 2001,27(1):35~38.
[21]  Kaplan S, Garrick B J. On the quantitative definition of risk. Risk Analysis, 1981,1(1):11~27.
[22]  Hall J W, Dawson R J. A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Water & Maritime Engineering, 2003,156(WM3):235~247.
[23]  Dilley M, Chen R S, Deichmann U, et al. Natural disaster hotspots: A global risk analysis. Washington DC: Hazard Management Unit, World Bank, 2005, 1~132.
[24]  Cardona O D, Hurtado J E, Chardon A C, et al. Indicators of Disaster Risk and Risk Management Summary Report for WCDR. Program for Latin America and the Caribbean IADB~UNC/IDEA, 2005, 1~47.
[25]  Davidson R. An Urban Earthquake Disaster Risk Index. California: Stanford University,1997.
[26]  King D, MacGregor C. Using social indicators to measure community vulnerability to natural hazards. Australian Journal of Emergency Management, 2000,15(3):52~57.
[27]  Lambert K. A Hurricane Disaster Risk Index. North Carolina: University of North Carolina, 2000.
[28]  Penning -Rowsell E C, Chatterton J B. The benefits of flood alleviation: A manual of assessment techniques. Gower Aldershot,1977.
[29]  Vrisou N, Kok M. Standard method for predicting damage and casualties as a result of floods. The Netherland Delft Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, 2001,22~41.
[30]  FEMA. HAZUS-MH, Flood Model: User Manual, Federal Emergency Management Agency,2003.
[31]  USACE. Business Depth-Damage Analysis Procedures, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineering Institute for Water Resources, Research Reports85-R-5,1985.
[32]  Dutta D,Tingsanchali T. Development of loss functions for urban flood risk analysis in Bangkok. Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium on New Technologies for Urban Safety of Mega Cities in Asia, ICUS, The University of Tokyo,2003,229~238.
[33]  冯民权,周孝德,张根广. 洪灾损失评估的研究进展. 西 北水资源与水工程,2002,13(1):33~36.
[34]  施国庆. 洪灾损失率及其确定方法探讨. 水利经济, 1990,(2):37~42.
[35]  孙雷蕾. 对构建我国洪水保险体系的研究. 天津:天津大 学,2004.
[36]  王艳艳,陆吉康,郑晓阳等. 上海市洪涝灾害损失评估 系统的开发. 灾害学,2001,16(2): 7~13.
[37]  Grunthal G, Thieken A H, Schwarz J et al. Comparative risk assessment for the city of Cologne, Germany: Storms, foods, earthquakes. Natural Hazards, 2006,38(1/2):21~44.
[38]  Pelling M, Maskrey A, Ruiz P. United Nations Development Programme. A Global Report Reducing Disaster Risk: A Challenge for Development. New York: UNDP, 2004, 1~146.
[39]  Pelling M. Visions of risk: A review of international indicators of disaster risk and its management. ISDR/UNDP: King's College, University of London, 2004, 1~56.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133