World Tourism Organization. Annual Report 2011. UNWTO, Madrid, 2012.
[2]
Turner II B L, Lambin E F, Reenberg A. The emergence of land change science for global environmental change and sustainability. PNAS, 2007, 104(52): 20666-20671.
[3]
Turner II B L, Skole D, Fisher G, et al. Land-use and land-cover change: Science/research plan. IGBP Report No.35 and HDP Report No.7. Stockholm and Geneva, 1995.
[4]
Moran E F. News on the land project. Global Change News Letter, 2003, (54): 19-21.
[5]
Moran E F, Ojima D, Buchmann N, et al. Global land project: Science plan and implementation strategy. IGBP Report No.53/HDP Report No.19, 2005.
[6]
陈志钢, 保继刚. 典型风景名胜城市土地利用动态变化及其影响机制研究: 以广西壮族自治区阳朔县为例. 地理科 学, 2010, 30(4): 544-550. [Chen Zhigang, Bao Jigang. Land use change dynamics and its determining mechanism in a typical tourist city: The case of Yangshuo County, Guangxi. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2010, 30(4): 544-550.]
[7]
杨俊, 席建超, 解鹏, 等. 基于CA模型的旅游小镇增长的时空模拟与应用: 以河北三坡镇为例. 地理研究, 2013, 32 (5): 915-923. [Yang Jun, Xi Jianchao, Xie Peng, et al. Spatio-temporal simulation and application of the tourist town growth based on cellular automation model: A case study of Sanpo Town in Hebei Province. Geographical Research, 2013, 32(5): 915-923.]
[8]
Cheong S M, Brown D G, Kok K, et al. Mixed methods in land change research: towards integration. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 2012, 37(1): 8-12.
[9]
何春阳, 史培军, 李景刚, 等. 中国北方未来土地利用变化情景模拟. 地理学报, 2004, 59(4): 599-607. [He Chunyang, Shi Peijun, Li Jinggang, et al. Scenarios simulation land use change in the northern China by system dynamic model. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(4): 599-607.]
[10]
Li X, Yeh A G. Modeling sustainable urban development by the integration of constrained cellular automata and GIS. In-ternational Journal of Geographical Information Science, 2000, 14(4): 131-152.
[11]
Zheng X, Zhao L, Wang W, et al. A coupled model for simulating spatio-temporal dynamics of land-use change: A case study in Changqing, Jinan, China. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2012, 106(1): 51-61.
[12]
An L, Linderman M, Qi J, et al. Exploring complexity in a human-environment system: An agent-based spatial model for multidisciplinary and multi-scale integration. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 2005, 95(1): 54-79.
[13]
陈海, 王涛, 梁小英, 等. 基于MAS的农户土地利用模型构建与模拟: 以陕西省米脂县孟岔村为例. 地理学报, 2009, 64(12): 1448-1456. [Chen Hai, Wang Tao, Liang Xiaoying, et al. Simulation and application of household's LUCC based on a multi-agent system: A case study for Mengcha Village of Mizhi County of Shaanxi Province. Acta Geographica Sinica, 64(12): 1448-1456.]
[14]
蒙吉军, 严汾, 赵春红. 大城市边缘区土地利用变化模拟研究: 以北京市昌平区为例. 应用基础与工程科学学报, 2010, 18(2): 197-208. [Meng Jijun, Yan Fen, Zhao Chunhong. Land use change simulation on the edge of metropolis: A case study of Changpin district in Beijing. Journal of Basic Science and Engineering, 2010, 18(2): 197-208.]
[15]
Veldkamp A, Fresco L O. CLUE: A conceptual model to study the conversion of land use and its effects. Ecological Modeling, 1996, 85(2-3): 253-270.
[16]
Veldkamp A, Fresco L O. CLUE-CR: An integrated multi-scale model to simulate land use change scenarios in Costa Rica. Ecological Modeling, 1996, 91(1-3): 231-248.
[17]
Verburg P H, Veldkamp W, Limpiada R, et al. Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: The CLUE-S model. Environmental Management, 2002, 30(3): 391-405.
[18]
梁友嘉, 徐中民, 钟方雷. 基于SD和CLUE-S 模型的张掖市甘州区土地利用情景分析. 地理研究, 2011, 30(3): 564-576. [Liang Youjia, Xu Zhongmin, Zhong Fanglei. Land use scenario analyses by based on system dynamic model and CLUE-S model at regional scale: A case study of Ganzhou district of Zhangye city. Geographical Research, 2011, 30(3): 564-576.]
[19]
田义超, 任志远. 基于CLUE-S 模型的黄土台塬区土地利用变化模拟: 以陕西省咸阳台塬区为例. 地理科学进展, 2012, 31(9): 1224-1234. [Tian Yichao, Ren Zhiyuan. Land use change simulations in loess hilly areas based on CLUE-S model: A case study in Xianyang loess tableland areas of Shaanxi Province. Progress in Geography, 2012, 31(9): 1224-1234.]
[20]
冯仕超, 高小红, 顾娟, 等. 基于CLUE-S 模型的湟水流域土地利用空间分布模拟. 生态学报, 2013, 33(3): 985-997.[Feng Shichao, Gao Xiaohong, Gu Juan, et al. Land use spatial distribution modeling based on CLUE-S model in the Huangshui River Basin. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013, 33(3): 985-997.]
[21]
Syartinilia S T. GIS-based modeling of Javan Hawk-Eagle distribution using logistic and autologistic regression models. Biological Conservation, 2008, 141(3): 756-769.
[22]
吴健生, 冯喆, 高阳, 等. CLUE-S 模型应用进展与研究改进. 地理科学进展, 2012, 31(1): 3-10. [Wu Jiansheng, Feng Zhe, Gao Yang, et al. Recent progresses on the application and improvement of the CLUE-S model. Progress in Geography, 2012, 31(1): 3-10.]
[23]
朱利凯, 蒙吉军. 国际LUCC模型研究进展及趋势. 地理科学进展, 2009, 28(5): 782-790. [Zhu Likai, Meng Jijun. Advance in and tendencies of land use and cover change model. Progress in Geography, 2009, 28(5): 782-790.]
[24]
宇林军, 孙丹峰, 彭仲仁, 等. 基于局部化转换规则的元胞自动机土地利用模型. 地理研究, 2013, 32(4): 671-682. [Yu linjun, Sun Danfeng, Peng Zhongren, et al. A cellular automata land use model based on localized transition rules. Geographical Research, 2013, 32(4): 671-682.]
[25]
段增强, Verburg P H, 张凤荣, 等. 土地利用动态模拟模型的构建及其应用: 以北京市海淀区为例. 地理科学, 2004, 59(6): 1037-1047. [Duan Zengqiang, Verburg P H, Zhang Fengrong, et al. Construction of a land-use change simulation model and its application in Haidian district, Beijing. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(6): 1037-1047.]
[26]
吴桂平, 曾永年, 冯学智, 等. CLUE-S 模型的改进与土地利用变化动态模拟: 以张家界市永定区为例. 地理研究, 2010, 29(3): 460-470. [Wu Guiping, Zeng Yongnian, Feng Xuezhi, et al. Dynamic simulation of land use change based on the improved CLUE-S model: A case study of Yongding County, Zhangjiajie. Geographical Research, 2010, 29(3): 460-470.]
[27]
摆万奇, 张永民, 阎建忠, 等. 大渡河上游地区土地利用动态模拟分析. 地理研究, 2005, 24(2): 206-212. [Bai Wanqi, Zhang Yongmin, Yan Jianzhong, et al. Simulation of land use dynamics in the upper reaches of the Dadu river. Geographical Research, 2005, 24(2): 206-212.]
[28]
Pontius R G. Quantification error versus location error in comparison of categorical maps. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 2000, 66(8): 1101-1116.
[29]
Besag J. Spatial interaction and the statistical analysis of lattice systems. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 1974, 36: 192-236.
[30]
戴声佩, 张勃. 基于CLUE-S 模型的黑河中游土地利用情景模拟研究: 以张掖市甘州区为例. 自然资源学报, 2013, 28(2): 336-348. [Dai Shengpei, Zhang Bo. Land use change scenarios simulation in the middle reaches of the Heihe Rivrer Basin based on CLUE-S model: A case study of Ganzhou district of Zhangye city. Journal of Natural Resources, 2013, 28(2): 336-348.]
[31]
刘荣. 哈巴河县土地利用格局多尺度空间自相关分析与模拟研究. 乌鲁木齐: 新疆大学硕士学位论文, 2010. [Liu Rong. Multi-scale spatial autocorrelation analysis and simulation of land use patterns in Habahe County. Urumq: Master Dissertation of Xinjiang University, 2010.]
[32]
柯新利, 邓祥征, 何书金. 地理元胞自动机模型的尺度敏感性及原因. 地理研究, 2010, 29(5): 863-872. [Ke Xinli, Deng Xiangzheng, He Shujin. Scale sensitivity and its causality for geo-cellular Automata modeling. Geographical Research, 2010, 29(5): 863-872.]
[33]
冯永玖, 韩震. 元胞邻域对空间直观模拟结果的影响. 地理研究, 2011, 30(6): 1055-1065. [Feng Yongjiu, Han Zhen. Impact of neighbor configurations on spatially-explicit modeling results. Geographical Research, 2011, 30(6): 1055-1065.]
[34]
Tomlin C D. Geographic Information Systems and Cartographic Modeling Englemwood Cliffs. New Jersey: Prenstice Hall, 1990.
[35]
李乐, 齐伟, 张新花, 等. 栖霞市土地利用空间格局的邻域关系. 应用生态学报, 2009, 20(4): 909-915. [Li Le, Qin Wei, Zhang Xinhua, et al. Neighborhood relationships of land use spatial pattern in Qixia city. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2009, 20(4): 909-915.]
[36]
Verburg P H, de Nijis T M, Eck J R, et al. A method to analyze neighborhood characteristics of land use patterns. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 2004, 28: 667-690.
[37]
王石英, 蔡强国, 吴淑安. 邻域算法在景观分析中的应用. 地理研究, 2005, 24(5): 692-698. [Wang Shiying, Cai Qiangguo, Wu Shuan. Application of neighborhood processing in landscape analysis. Geographical Research, 2005, 24(5): 692-698.]
[38]
陈利顶, 傅伯杰. 黄河三角洲地区人类活动对景观结构的影响分析: 以山东东营市为例. 生态学报, 1996, 16(4): 227-244. [Chen Liding, Fu Bojie. Analysis of impact of human activity on landscape structure in Yellow River Delta: A case study of Dongying Region. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 1996, 16(4): 227-244.]
[39]
吴志峰. 珠江三角洲景观典型区景观生态研究: 以珠海为例. 北京: 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所博士学位论 文, 2001. [Wu Zhifeng. GIS-based study on landscape ecology of typical area in Zhujiang Delta: A case of Zhuhai. Beijing: Doctoral Dissertation of Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, 2001.]
[40]
Riitters K, O'Neil R, Hunsaker C. A factor analysis of landscape pattern and structure metrics. Landscape Ecology, 1995, 10(3): 299-309.
