Milly P C D, Wetherald P T. Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate. Nature, 2002, 415(6871): 514~517.
[2]
Palmer T N, J R?is?nen. Quantifying the risk of extreme seasonal precipitation events in a changing climate. Nature, 2002, 415: 512~514.
[3]
Easterling D E, Meehl A G, Parmesan C, et al. Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts. Science, 2000, 689: 2068~2074.
[4]
Zhang Qiang, Marco Gemmer, Chen Jiaqi. Climate changes and flood/drought variation and flood risk in the Yangtze Delta, China. Quaternary International, 2008: 62~69.
[5]
Beniston M, Stephenson D B. Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions. Global and Planetary Change, 2004, 44: 1~9.
[6]
Zhang Qiang, Liu Chun ling, Xu Chong-yu. Observed trends of annual maximum water level and streamflow during past 130 years in the Yangtze River basin, China. Journal of Hydrology, 2006, 324: 255~265.
Svensson C, Kundzewicz Z W, Maurer T. Trend detection in river flow series:2.Flood and low-flow index series. Hydrological Sciences-Journal, 2005, 50(5): 811~824.
[13]
David R M. Handbook of Hydrology. New York: McGraw-Hill Professional Publishing, 1993.
[14]
Ana Justel, Daniel Pefia, Rubrn Zamar. A multivariate Kolmogorov-Smimov test of goodness of fit. Statistics & Probability Letters, 1997, 35: 251~259.
[15]
Hosking J R M. L-moments: Analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 1990, 52: 105~124.
[16]
Von Storch, V.H. Misuses of statistical analysis in climate research. In: Storch H V, Navarra A. Analysis of climate variability: Application of statistical techniques. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 1995. 11~26.
[17]
Sanjiv Kumar, Venkatesh Merwade. Streamflow trends in Indiana: Effects of long term persistence, precipitation and subsurface drains. Journal of Hydrology, 374: 171~183.
[18]
Kulkarni A, H von Stroch. Monte Carlo experiments on the effect of serial correlation on the Mann-Kendall test of trend. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 1995, 4(2): 82~85.
[19]
Zhang Qiang, Xu Chong-Yu, Zhang Zengxin, et al. Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation maxima during 1960~2005 in the Yangtze River basin and possible association with large-scale circulation. Journal of Hydrology, 2008, 353: 215~227.