全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
-  2014 

珠三角县域城市潜力的空间集聚演化及影响因素

DOI: 10.11821/dlyj201402009

Keywords: 城市潜力,空间集聚,ESDA,空间计量经济学模型,珠三角

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

摘要: 运用因子分析、扩展的潜力模型、ESDA和空间计量经济学模型,基于五个时间断面的数据,探讨了1990-2009年珠三角县域潜力的空间集聚格局演变特征及其影响因素。研究发现:总体上珠三角县域潜力具正空间集聚特征,但集聚程度不高且趋于减弱;大多数县域潜力的局部空间集聚特征保持相对稳定且规律性明显,高潜力县域集中在广—佛都市区并呈向深—莞—惠都市区发展态势,低潜力县域进一步向研究区西部集聚,并在西部形成面状连续分布区;局部空间集聚格局也发生了一些变化:HH和LL集聚区位有所变化,局部集聚类型间有一定的转化,县域潜力的空间集聚的不均衡性在西部与中东部地带间有进一步扩大倾向。从县域潜力集聚演化的影响因素上看,县域间相互作用、地理区位、消费者购买力、人力资本、劳动力成本、信息化水平有显著正向影响;企业数量、城市化水平有显著负向影响;交通运输条件、固定资本投入和两个经济政策因素的影响不显著。 PACS

References

[1]  胡序威, 周一星, 顾朝林. 中国沿海城镇密集地区空间集聚与扩散研究. 北京: 科学出版社, 2000. 175-221. [Hu Xuwei, Zhou Yixing, Gu Chaolin. Studies on the Spatial Agglomeration and Dispersion in China's Coastal City and Town Concentrated Areas. Beijing: Science Press, 2000. 175-221.]
[2]  刘涛, 曹广忠. 城市规模的空间聚散与中心城市影响力: 基于中国637 个城市空间自相关的实证. 地理研究, 2012, 31 (7): 1317-1327. [Liu Tao, Cao Guangzhong. Agglomeration and dispersion of city sizes and the influence of central cities: Based on the multi-scale spatial autocorrelation and the case of China. Geographical Research, 2012, 31(7): 1317-1327.]
[3]  Gu C L, Shen J F, Wong K Y, et al. Regional polarization under the socialist-market system since 1978: A case study of Guangdong province in south China. Environment and Planning A, 2001, 33(1): 97-119.
[4]  叶玉瑶, 张虹鸥. 珠江三角洲城市群空间集聚与扩散. 经济地理, 2007, 27(5): 773-776. [Ye Yuyao, Zhang Hongou. The spatial agglomeration and dispersion in the Pearl River Delta. Economic Geography, 2007, 27(5): 773-776.]
[5]  Henderson V. The effects of urban concentration on economic growth. NBER Working Paper No. 7503, 2000. 2.
[6]  Krugman P. Urban concentration: The role of increasing returns and transport costs. International Regional Science Review, 1996, 19(2): 5-30.
[7]  Krugman P. Increasing returns and economic geography. Journal of Political Economy, 1991, 99(3): 483-499.
[8]  Herbert G. Urban Agglomeration and Economic Growth. New York: Springer, 1995.
[9]  Krugman P. Development, Geography and Economic Theory. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1995. 27-50.
[10]  Sveikauskas L. The productivity of cities. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1975, 89(3): 393-413.
[11]  Segal D. Are there return to scale in city size?. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1976, 58(3): 339-350.
[12]  Moomow R L. Productivity and city size: A critique of the evidence. Quarterly Journal of Economies, 1981, (4): 236-255.
[13]  Wen M. Relocation and agglomeration of chinese industry. Journal of Development Economics, 2004, 73(2): 329-347.
[14]  Maurel F, Sedillot B. A measure of the geographic concentration in French manufacturing industries. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1999, 29(1): 575-604.
[15]  Fan C, Scott A. Industrial agglomeration and development: A survey of spatial economic issues in east-Asia and a statistical analysis of Chinese regions. Economic Geography, 2003, 79(3): 295-319.
[16]  刘春霞, 朱青, 李月臣. 基于距离的北京制造业空间集聚. 地理学报, 2006, 61(12): 1247-1258. [Liu Chunxia, Zhu Qing, Li Yuechen. Evaluating the geographic concentration of manufacturing industries of Beijing based on distance-based methods. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2006, 61(12):1247-1258.]
[17]  李郇, 丁行政. 空间集聚与外商直接投资的区位选择: 基于珠三角地区的实证分析. 地理科学, 2007, 27(5): 636- 641. [Li Xun, Ding Xingzheng. Spatial aggregation and location selection of FDI based on empirical analysis Zhujiang River Delta of China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2007, 27(5): 636-641.]
[18]  杜宏茹, 张小雷. 近年来新疆城镇空间集聚变化研究. 地理科学, 2005, 25(3): 268-273. [Du Hongru, Zhang Xiaolei. A study on urban spatial agglomeration in Xinjiang in recent years. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2005, 25(3): 268-273.]
[19]  韩增林, 王茂军, 张学霞. 中国海洋产业发展的地区差距变动及空间集聚分析. 地理研究, 2003, 22(3): 289-296. [Han Zenglin, Wang Maojun, Zhang Xuexia. Changes of regional differences and zonal centralizations of marine industry in China in the 1990s. Geographical Research, 2003, 22(3): 289-296.]
[20]  罗震东, 朱查松, 张京祥. 都市区域空间集聚—碎化趋势研究: 江苏沿江都市区域的实证. 人文地理, 2009, 24(1): 22-27. [Luo Zhendong, Zhu Chasong, Zhang Jingxiang. Analysis of the spatial agglomeration and fragmentation in metropolitan region: Case study of Jiangsu's metropolitan area along Yangtze River. Human Geography, 2009,24(1): 22-27.]
[21]  Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association: LISA. Geographical Analysis, 1995, 27(2): 93-115.
[22]  马荣华, 顾朝林, 蒲英霞, 等. 苏南沿江城镇扩展的空间模式及其测度. 地理学报, 2007, 62(10): 1011-1022. [Ma Ronghua, Gu Chaolin, Pu Yingxia, et al. Urban spatial sprawl pattern and metrics in south of Jiangsu province along the Yangtze River. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2007, 62(10): 1011-1022.]
[23]  马晓冬, 马荣华, 徐建刚. 基于ESDA-GIS 的城镇群体空间结构. 地理学报, 2004, 59(6): 1048-1057. [Ma Xiaodong, Ma Ronghua, Xu Jiangang. Spatial structure of cities and towns with ESDA-GIS framework. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(6): 1048-1057.]
[24]  陈刚强, 李郇, 许学强. 中国城市人口的空间集聚特征与规律分析. 地理学报, 2008, 63(10): 1045-1054. [Chen Gangqiang, Li Xun, Xu Xueqiang. Spatial agglomeration and evolution of urban population in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2008, 63(10): 1045-1054.]
[25]  葛莹, 姚士谋, 蒲英霞, 等. 运用空间自相关分析集聚经济类型的地理格局. 人文地理, 2005, (3): 21-25. [Ge Ying, Yao Shimou, Pu Yingxia, et al. Application of spatial autocorrelation for the spatial patterns of urbanization and localization economy. Human Geography, 2005, (3): 21-25.]
[26]  曹志宏, 梁流涛, 郝晋珉. 黄淮海地区社会经济空间分异及集聚发展模式. 地理科学进展, 2009, 28(6): 984-990. [Cao Zhihong, Liang Liutao, Hao Jinmin. The spatial analysis of socio-economic difference and its agglomeration development strategy model in Huang-Huai-Hai region. Progress in Geography, 2009, 28(6): 984-990.]
[27]  贺灿飞, 潘峰华, 孙蕾. 中国制造业的地理集聚与形成机制. 地理学报, 2007, 62(12): 1253-1264. [He Canfei, Pan Fenghua, Sun Lei. Geographical concentration of manufacturing industries in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2007, 62(12): 1253-1264.]
[28]  贺灿飞, 朱彦刚, 朱晟君. 产业特性、区域特征与中国制造业省区集聚. 地理学报, 2010, 65(10): 1218-1228. [He Canfei, Zhu Yangang, Zhu Shengjun. Industrial attributes, provincial characteristics and industrial agglomeration in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(10): 1218-1228.]
[29]  毛艳华. 珠江三角洲IT 制造业的集聚机制与竞争优势. 中山大学学报: 社会科学版, 2004, 44(5): 6-10. [Mao Yanhua. Studies of the conglomerating dynamics and competitive advantages of IT manufacturing industries in Pearl River Delta. Journal of Sun Yat-sen University: Social Science Edition, 2004, 44(5): 6-10.]
[30]  Elhorst J P. Specification and estimation of spatial panel data models. International Regional Science Review, 2003, (26): 244-268.
[31]  Dall'erba S, Le Gallo J. Regional convergence and the impact of European structural funds over 1989-1999: A spatial econometric analysis. Regional Science, 2008, 87(2): 219-244.
[32]  洪国志, 胡华颖, 李郇. 中国区域经济发展收敛的空间计量分析. 地理学报, 2010, 65(12): 1548-1558. [Hong Guozhi, Hu Huaying, Li Xun. Analysis of regional growth convergence with spatial econometrics in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(12): 1548-1558.]
[33]  马国霞, 徐勇, 田玉军. 京津冀都市圈经济增长收敛机制的空间分析. 地理研究, 2007, 26(3): 590-598. [Ma Guoxia, Xu Yong, Tian Yujun. Spatial analysis of economic growth convergence mechanism in Beijing-Tianjing-Hebei metropolitan region. Geographical Research, 2007, 26(3): 590-598.]
[34]  刘忠群, 黄书权. 空间相互作用对中国地区工业集聚的影响分析. 四川经济管理学院学报, 2007, (2): 13-15. [Liu Zhongqun, Huang Shuquan. Effect of spatial interaction on regional industry agglomeration in China. Journal of Sichuan Economic Management Institute, 2007, (2): 13-15.]
[35]  姚德龙. 中国省域工业集聚的空间计量经济学分析. 统计与决策, 2008, (3): 123-125. [Yao Delong. Analysis of provincial wide industry agglomeration in China based on spatial econometrics. Statistics and Decision, 2008, (3): 123-125.]
[36]  袁海, 曹培慎. 中国文化产业区域集聚的空间计量分析. 统计与决策, 2011, (10): 77-80. [Yuan Hai, Cao Peishen. Spatial econometric analysis on the regional agglomeration in Chinese cultural industries. Statistics and Decision, 2011, (10): 77-80.]
[37]  许学强, 周一星, 宁越敏. 城市地理学. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2003. 148-160. [Xu Xueqiang, Zhou Yixing, Ning Yuemin. Urban Geography. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2003. 148-160.]
[38]  陈群元, 宋玉祥. 城市群空间范围的综合界定方法研究: 以长株潭城市群为例. 地理科学, 2010, 30(5): 660-666. [Chen Qunyuan, Song Yuxiang. Methods of dividing the boundary of urban agglomerations: Chang-zhu-tan urban agglomeration as a case. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2010, 30(5): 660-666.]
[39]  金煜, 陈钊, 陆铭. 中国的地区工业集聚: 经济地理、新经济地理与经济政策. 经济研究, 2006, (4): 79-89. [Jin Yu, Chen Zhao, Lu Ming. Industry agglomeration in China: Economic geography, new economic geography and policy. Economic Research Journal, 2006, (4):79-89.]
[40]  吴玉鸣, 田斌. 省域环境库兹涅茨曲线的扩展及其决定因素: 空间计量经济学模型实证. 地理研究, 2012, 31(4): 627-640. [Wu Yuming, Tian Bin. The extension of regional environmental Kuznets Curve and its determinants: An empirical research based on spatial econometrics model. Geographical Research, 2012, 31(4): 627-640.]

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133