XIONG L H,YU K X,ZHANG H G,et al.Annual runoff change in the headstream of Yangtze River and its relation to precipitation and air temperature[J].Hydrology Research,2013,44(5):850-874.
VILLARINI G,SMITH J A,SERINALDI F,et al.Flood frequency analysis for nonstationary annual peak records in an urban drainage basin[J].Advances in Water Resources,2009,32:1255-1266.
[10]
VILLARINI G,SMITH J A,NAPOLITANO F.Nonstationary modeling of a long record of rainfall and temperature over Rome[J].Advances in Water Resources,2010,33:1256-1267.
[11]
VILLARINI G,SMITH J A,SERINALDI F,et al.Analyses of extreme flooding in Austria over the period 1951-2006[J].International Journal of Climatology,2012,32(8):1178-1192.
[12]
MANN H B.Nonparametric tests against trend[J].Econometrica,1945,13:245-259.
[13]
KENDALL M G.Rank correlation methods[M].4th edition.London,UK:Griffin,1975.
[14]
RIGBY R A,STASINOPOULOS D M.Generalized additive models for location,scale and shape[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society:Series C (Applied Statistics),2005,54:507-554.
[15]
R DEVELOPMENT CORE TEAM.R:a language and environment for statistical computing[M].Vienna,Austria:R Foundation for Statistical Computing,2008.
[16]
STASINOPOULOS D M,RIGBY R A,AKANTZILIOTO C.GAMLSS:generalized additive models for location,scale and shape[CP].R Package Version 1.5-0,2007.
[17]
AKAIKE H.A new look at the statistical model identification[J].IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control,1974,19(6):716-723.
[18]
SCHWARZ G.Estimating the dimension of a model[J].The Annals of Statistics,1978,6(2):461-464.
[19]
DUNN P K,SMYTH G K.Randomized quantile residuals[J].J Comput Graph Statist,1996,5(3):236-244.
[20]
LOONEY S W,GULLEDGE,Jr T R.Use of the correlation coefficient with normal probability plots[J].The American Statistician,1985,39(1):75-79.
[21]
郭生练.设计洪水研究进展与评价[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2005.
[22]
FILLIBEN J J.The probability plot correlation coefficient test for normality[J].Technometrics,1975,17(1):111-117.
[23]
VAN BUUREN S,FREDRIKS M.Worm plot:a simple diagnostic device for modeling growth reference curves[J].Statistics in Medicine,2001,20(8):1259-1277.
[24]
PARZEN E.On the estimation of a probability density function and the mode[J].The Annals of Mathematical Statistics,1962,33(3):1065-1076.