全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

区域综合货运系统与经济发展互动模型

, PP. 127-131

Keywords: 运输经济,供需关系,系统动力学,反馈

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

将系统动力学理论应用于区域综合货运系统与经济发展的相互影响定量分析中,通过分析货运供需系统因果关系,研究货运需求、货运缺口、经济发展、运输投资等系统影响因素之间的反馈环路。在此基础上建立系统流图,构建货运系统与区域经济互动关系系统动力学模型。通过仿真试验,分析了运输投资比例、产业结构等与货运生成总量及货运缺口之间的定量关系。结果表明,运输基础设施投资比例的提高,能有效改善货运供给能力的不足,使得货运缺口减小,促进经济的增长;第1、2产业对于货运生成总量的贡献较大,第3产业对货运生成总量的贡献较小。

References

[1]  [J] . 综合运输, 2004, (4):68-70. YAO Zhigang , WANG Yuanqin, ZHOU Wei.The Framework of Urban Freight Transport Planning
[2]  [J] .Comprehensive Transportation, 2004 , (4):68 -70.
[3]  张务栋.交通运输布局概论
[4]  [M] .上海:华东师范大 学出版社, 1993. ZHANG Wudong. The Outline of Layout of Communications System
[5]  [M] .Shanghai:East China Normal University Press, 1993.
[6]  POPKEN D A.An Analytical Framework for Routing Multiattribute Multicommodity Freight
[7]  [J] .Transportation Research Part B :Methodological , 1999 , 30 (2):133-145.
[8]  PICARD G.Exploration of a Box Cox Logit Model of Intercity FreightMode Choice
[9]  [J] .Transportation Research Part E :Logistics and Transportation Review , 1998, 34 (1):1 -12.
[10]  JOURQUIN B , BEUTHEM.Transportation Policy Analysis with a Geographic Information System :the Virtual Network of Freight Transportation in Europe
[11]  [J] .Transportation Research Part C :Emerging Technologies, 1999, 4 (6):359 -371.
[12]  BEYTHE M, JOURQUIN B, GEERTS J F, et al. Freight Transportation Demand Elasticities:a Geographic Multimodal Transportation Network Analysis
[13]  [J] .Transportation Research Part E :Logistics and Transportation Review , 2001 , 37 (4): 253-266.
[14]  JANIC M.Modelling the Full Costs of an Intermodal and Road Freight Transport Network
[15]  [J] .Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment , 2007, 12 (1):33 -44.
[16]  RICH J, HOLMBLAD P M , HANSEN C O.A Weighted Logit FreightMode Choice Model
[17]  KVEIBORG O, FOSGERAU M.Decomposing the Decoupling of Danish Road Freight Traffic Growth and Economic Growth
[18]  [J] .Transport Policy , 2007 (14) :39 48.
[19]  JANIC M.Modelling the Full Costs of an Intermodal and Road Freight Transport Network
[20]  [J] .Transportation Research Part D, 2007 (12) :33 44.
[21]  SHINGHAL N, FOWKES T.Freight Mode Choice and Adaptive Stated Preferences
[22]  [J] .Transportation Research Part E 38, 2002:367 378.
[23]  徐家兵, 杭文, 李旭宏, 等.公路重载运输的社会经 济评估模型
[24]  [J] .公路交通科技, 2008, 25 (5):144 - 149. XU Jiabing , HANG Wen , LI Xuhong et al.A Social -economic Evaluating Model for Highway Heavy load Transport
[25]  [J] .Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development, 2008, 25 (5):144 -149.
[26]  姚志刚, 王元庆, 周伟.城市货运规划理论框架
[27]  [J] .Transportation Research Part E:Logistics and Transportation Review , 2009, 45 (6): 1006-1019.
[28]  TORTUM A, YAYLA N, G? KDA? M. The Modeling of Mode Choices of Intercity Freight Transportation with the Artificial Neural Networks and Adaptive Neuro -fuzzy Inference System
[29]  [J] .Expert Systems with Applications, 2009, 36 (2): 6199-6217.
[30]  CRAINIC T G., ROUSSEAU JM.Multicommodity , Multimode Freight Transportation:A General Modeling and Algorithmic Framework for the Service Network Design Problem
[31]  [J] .Transportation Research Part B:Methodological, 1986 , 20 (3): 225-242.
[32]  CRAINIC T G., ROY J.OR Tools for Tactical Freight Transportation Planning
[33]  [J] .European Journal of Operational Research , 1988, 33 (3):290 -297.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133