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高速公路资产综合优化管理研究

, PP. 146-152

Keywords: 运输经济,高速公路,资产管理,多目标优化,遗传算法,蒙特卡罗随机模拟,风险分析

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Abstract:

从道路管理者和道路使用者的需求入手,尝试建立了基于资产性能最优与投资效益最大的路面和桥梁综合优化管理模型;选取算例利用遗传算法通过MATLAB对所建立的模型进行了求解,验证了算法的可行性,同时表明遗传算法较一般的数学规划方法在模型求解过程中呈现出更大的优越性。在利用综合优化管理模型找到最佳投资养护方案的基础上,依照推荐的投资方案与养护运行的服务水平实施决策,选用蒙特卡罗随机模拟,尝试对养护决策方案进行了不同盈利水平的风险分析,结果表明不同投资方案的盈利水平是可以预估的,为管理部门提供了更为可靠科学的决策支持。

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