|
OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
|
|
|
|
基于贝叶斯网络的路侧安全评价方法
Keywords: 交通工程,安全评价,贝叶斯网络(BN),路侧,概率推理
Abstract:
首先阐述了路侧安全评价对于减少公路交通事故的重要意义,在对国内外相关研究进行分析和比较的基础上,构建了一个用于路侧安全性评价的指标体系。随后利用贝叶斯网络所具有的表达不确定性知识和进行不确定性知识推理的能力,提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络的安全评价模型。该模型能够处理复杂的逻辑关系,很好地表达变量间的不确定性关系,可以灵活方便地对系统进行预测及诊断分析,有效地处理专家意见不一致的情形,并能够在某些专家意见缺失的情况下得到合理的结果。最后将此方法应用于评估某路侧的安全等级,结果表明此方法是合理有效的。
| [1] | HARWOOD D W,COUNCIL F M,HAUER E,et al.Prediction of the Expected Safety Performance of Rural Two-Lane Highways
|
| [2] | 唐琤琤,何勇,等.公路安全保障工程实施技术指南
|
| [3] | [R].交通部公路科学研究院,2004.TANG Cheng-cheng,HE Yong,et al.Road Safety Assurance Engineering Implement Technique Guide
|
| [4] | [R].Research Institute of Highway Ministry of Communications,2004.
|
| [5] | PEARL J.Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems:Networks of Plausible Inference
|
| [6] | [M].Morgan Kaufmann Publishers,Palo Alto,1988.
|
| [7] | J ENSEN F V.Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs
|
| [8] | [M].New York:Springer,2001.
|
| [9] | [C]PPProceedings of International Conference on Management Science & Engineering(13th)12006:551-556.
|
| [10] | HA J S,SEONG P H.A Method for Risk-i nformed Safety Significance Categorization Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Bayesian Belief Networks
|
| [11] | [J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2004,83(1):1-15.
|
| [12] | BOBBIO A,PORTINALE L,MINICHINO M,et al.Improving the Analysis of Dependable Systems by Mapping Fault Trees into Bayesian Networks
|
| [13] | [J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2001,71(3):249-260.
|
| [14] | 郭应时,袁伟,付锐.道路交通安全评价指标特性分析
|
| [15] | [J].公路交通科技,2006,23(5):10-105.GUO Ying-shi,YUAN Wei,FU Rui.Research on Characteristics of Assessment Indexes for Road Safety
|
| [16] | [J].Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development,2006,23(5):10-105.
|
| [17] | 陈飞,唐登科,黄卫.安全评价技术在老路改建中的应用研究
|
| [18] | [J].公路交通科技,2006,23(6):15-156.CHEN Fei,TANG Deng-ke,HUANG Wei.Application Safety Evaluation Technique in Old Road Construction
|
| [19] | [J].Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development,2006,23(6):15-156.
|
| [20] | [R].FHWAORDO99O207,2000.
|
| [21] | 郑恒,吴祈宗,汪佩兰,等.贝叶斯网络在火工系统安全评价中的应用
|
| [22] | [J].兵工学报,2006,27(6):988-993.ZHENG Heng,WU Qi-zong,WANG Pei-lan,et al.Application of Bayesian Networks to Safety Assessment in Pyrotechnics Systems
|
| [23] | [J].Acta Armamentarii,2006,27(6):988-993.
|
| [24] | LIU Yu,ZHENG Heng.Measuring Agility of Enterprise Using Analytic Hierarchy Process and Bayesian Beliefs Networks
|
Full-Text
|
|
Contact Us
service@oalib.com QQ:3279437679 
WhatsApp +8615387084133
|
|
