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道路交通安全统计生命价值的条件价值评估

, PP. 130-134

Keywords: 交通工程,统计生命价值,条件价值评估法,道路交通安全,支付意愿

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Abstract:

运用条件价值评估法,研究道路交通安全经济中统计生命价值评估问题。采用支付卡、单边界两分式和双边界两分式3种问卷格式在北京地区进行关于避免道路交通事故支付意愿的调查。统计分析结果表明,不同问卷格式得到的结果有较大差异,其中单边界两分式问卷的平均支付意愿最大,双边界两分式问卷次之,支付卡式问卷最小;同时,双边界两分式问卷比单边界两分式问卷更能模拟市场定价过程。在综合比较3种方法的基础上,认为双边界两分式的评估结果比较合适,即为降低2/10000的道路交通事故死亡概率的平均支付意愿为102.6元,统计生命价值为51.3万元。

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