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需求不确定下物流企业采用新技术的策略选择分析

, PP. 153-158

Keywords: 运输经济,实物期权,物流企业,需求不确定性

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Abstract:

运用实物期权的分析方法,分析了需求不确定条件下物流企业采用新技术的决策机理,得到了物流企业采用新技术的需求规模门槛值。结果表明考虑企业决策柔性使得企业采用新技术的门槛值增大,不利于物流企业采用新技术。同时,对影响该门槛值的各因素进行了进一步的分析研究,认为政府的引导、物流服务供需双方企业间的战略联盟关系,都将促进我国物流企业采用新技术,进而促进物流企业和物流产业的发展。

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