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基于可靠度的船撞桥梁倒塌概率分析

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Keywords: 桥梁工程,倒塌概率,响应面,可靠度,船撞桥,灵敏度指标

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Abstract:

针对大型复杂桥梁,运用可靠度理论对船撞桥梁倒塌概率进行计算是船撞评估方法发展的必然趋势。基于可靠度理论,将VC++与通用有限元软件ANSYS结合,编制了ANSYS-响应面法船撞桥梁可靠度计算程序。并采用该方法对嘉陵江黄花园大桥的船撞桥梁倒塌概率及可靠度灵敏度指标进行了计算。结果表明当桥区水位处于174m常水位时,船撞桥墩的倒塌概率较大;影响桥梁在船撞作用下倒塌概率的主要因素是容重、船舶撞击速度、船舶撞击角度、混凝土抗压强度。

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