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指标期望为随机变量情形的多指标决策方法

DOI: 10.13195/j.kzyjc.2014.1261, PP. 1434-1440

Keywords: 多指标决策,指标期望,随机变量,随机占优,方案排序

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Abstract:

针对指标期望为随机变量情形的多指标决策问题,提出一种决策分析方法.该方法首先通过计算指标值相对于指标期望的损益值,将决策矩阵转化为关于指标期望的损益矩阵;然后运用随机占优准则,通过判断针对每个指标两两方案之间的随机占优关系,进而构建两两方案的随机占优关系矩阵,并使用PROMETHEEII方法对方案进行排序;最后以某研究所移动硬盘采购问题为例,对所提出方法的实用性进行说明.

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