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基于前景理论的具有指标期望的多指标决策方法

DOI: 10.13195/j.kzyjc.2013.1572, PP. 91-97

Keywords: 多指标决策,指标期望,前景理论,广义优序模糊约束满意问题,方案排序

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Abstract:

针对决策者给出单一与组合指标期望情形的多指标决策问题,提出一种基于前景理论的决策分析方法.首先,依据前景理论将决策者给出的指标期望视为参照点,分别计算各方案针对各单一与各组合指标期望的前景价值,并构建各方案的综合前景价值向量;然后,将原始决策问题转化为相应的广义优序模糊约束满意问题(GPFCSP),进而计算各方案针对相应推理准则的总体满意度,并据此对各方案进行排序;最后,通过算例表明了该方法的可行性.

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