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基于故障贝叶斯网的冷链物流系统可靠性分析

DOI: 10.13195/j.kzyjc.2014.0184, PP. 911-916

Keywords: 冷链物流系统,可靠性,故障树,贝叶斯网

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Abstract:

借鉴可靠性工程理论中系统可靠性的分析方法,将冷链物流系统运行故障这一抽象问题具体化处理,根据系统中各功能环节的运行特点及事件之间的因果关系,构建冷链物流系统的系统失效故障树;在此基础上生成贝叶斯网络,以综合评估冷链物流系统的运行可靠性,揭示系统故障产生的主要原因,为改进冷链物流系统的运行可靠性提供定量依据.将所提出方法用于某第三方冷链物流企业的运作管理中,取得了预期效果.

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