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工程力学  2014 

基于FVM数值分析的海工混凝土结构耐久可靠度MonteCarlo模拟

, PP. 166-173

Keywords: 海工混凝土结构,耐久可靠度,失效概率,FVM,方法,Monte,Carlo模拟,FVM-MC方法

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Abstract:

为研究海工混凝土结构耐久性设计及寿命预测的可靠度方法,分析了耐久性设计与寿命预测的半理论、半经验解析模型方法,讨论了截面形状等条件对氯离子扩散传输的影响。该文研究应用有限体积法(FVM)分析求解混凝土中氯离子含量和蒙特卡罗(MonteCarlo)模拟求解耐久失效概率,分析海工混凝土结构耐久可靠度。这种方法可简称FVM-MC方法。在FVM-MC方法中,首先采用FVM方法求解混凝土中的氯离子含量,然后采用MonteCarlo方法对失效概率进行模拟求解。验证分析表明,FVM-MC方法分析模拟精度高,是海工混凝土结构可靠度分析的一种可靠方法。计算结果表明,截面形状等对混凝土结构的耐久可靠度具有显著的影响,采用Fick第二定律解析解的半理论、半经验模型,由于没有考虑截面形状效应,增加了矩形截面构件的耐久失效风险;圆形截面具有近似一维的扩散传输特点,在条件相同情况下,其构件耐久可靠度显著地高于方形或矩形截面的构件。

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