全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

近40年乌兰乌拉湖变化的遥感分析与水文模型模拟

DOI: 10.6046/gtzyyg.2014.01.26, PP. 152-157

Keywords: 乌兰乌拉湖,遥感,SWAT模型,气候变化,模拟

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

为了研究可可西里地区的湖泊变化及其与气候变化的响应关系,利用TM/ETM+图像提取乌兰乌拉湖水体面积,利用高度计数据获得湖泊水位,分析湖泊面积和水位的变化;并计算得到2003—2009年湖泊水量变化;然后利用SWAT模型(soilandwaterassessmenttool),对乌兰乌拉湖1970—2012年的径流情况进行模拟,其中土壤分类、土地利用分类和气象数据作为输入数据,利用遥感数据计算湖泊径流量,进行模型率定和验证。结果表明:1970—1990年,乌兰乌拉湖湖泊面积持续缩小,1990年以后湖泊面积持续增大,1990—2010年湖泊面积共增长了129km2,水位也持续上升;SWAT模型模拟值和真实值的决策系数R2=0.82,模型适用性强,长期模拟结果与遥感监测结果的趋势一致;乌兰乌拉湖流域多年平均年径流量为103.8mm,高峰出现在7—9月。

References

[1]  冯松, 汤懋苍, 王冬梅.青藏高原是我国气候变化启动区的新证据[J].科学通报, 1998, 43(6):633-636. Feng S, Tang M C, Wang D M.The new evidence that the Tibetan Plateau is promoter region in China in climate change[J].Chinese Science Bulletin, 1998, 43(6):633-636.
[2]  Liao J J, Shen G Z, Li Y K.Lake variations in response to climate change in the Tibetan Plateau in the past 40 years[J].International Journal of Digital Earth, 2012:1-16.
[3]  鲁安新, 姚檀栋, 王丽红, 等.青藏高原典型冰川和湖泊变化遥感研究[J].冰川冻土, 2005, 37(6):783-792. Lu A X, Yao T D, Wang L H, et al.Study on the fluctuations of typical glaciers and lakes in the Tibetan Plateau using remote sensing[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2005, 37(6):783-792.
[4]  黄卫东, 廖静娟, 沈国壮.近40年西藏那曲南部湖泊变化及其成因探讨[J].国土资源遥感, 2012, 24(3):123-128. Huang W D, Liao J J, Shen G Z.Lake change in past 40 years in the southern Naqu district of Tibet and analysis of its driving force[J].Remote Sensing for Land and Resources.2012, 24(3):123-128.
[5]  车涛, 李新, Mool P K, 等.希夏邦马峰东坡冰川与冰川湖泊变化遥感监测[J].冰川冻土, 2005, 27(6):801-805. Che T, Li X, Mool P K, et al.Monitoring glaciers and associated glacial lakes on the east slopes of mount Xixabangma from remote sensing images[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2005, 27(6):801-805.
[6]  陈锋, 康世昌, 张拥军, 等.纳木错流域冰川和湖泊变化对气候变化的响应[J].山地学报, 2009, 27(6):641-647. Chen F, Kang S C, Zhang Y J, et al.Glaciers and lake change in response to climate change in the Nam Co basin, Tibet[J].Journal of Mountain Science, 2009, 27(6):641-647.
[7]  边多, 杜军, 胡军, 等.1975—2006年西藏羊卓雍错流域内湖泊水位变化对气候变化的响应[J].冰川冻土, 2009, 31(3):404-409. Bian D, Du J, Hu J, et al.Response of the water level of the Yamzho Yum Co to climate change during 1975-2006[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2009, 31(3):404-409.
[8]  Birkett C M.Synergistic remote sensing of lake chad:Variability of basin inundation[J].Remote Sensing of Environment, 2000, 72(2):218-236.
[9]  Frederic F, Calmant S, Cauhope M, et al.Preliminary results of ENVISAT RA-2-derived water levels validation over the Amazon basin[J].Remote Sensing of Environment, 2006, 100(2):252-264.
[10]  Vu H P, Roderik L, Massimo M.ICESat derived elevation changes of Tibetan lakes between 2003 and 2009[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 2011, 17:12-22.
[11]  Hyongki L, Shum C K, Kuo H T, et al.Present-day lake level variation from ENVISAT altimetry over the northeastern Qinghai-Ti betan Plateau:Links with precipitation and temperature[J].Terrestrial Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, 2011, 22(2):169-175.
[12]  Cruise J F, Limaye A S, Abed N.Assessment of impacts of climate change on water quality in the southeastern United States[J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 1999, 35(6):1539-1550.
[13]  Stonefelt M D, Fontaine T A, Hotchkiss R H.Impacts of climate change on water yield in the upper Wind River basin[J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 2000, 36(2):321-336.
[14]  Stone M C, Hotchkiss R H, Hubbard C M, et al.Impacts of climate change on Missouri River basin water yield[J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 2001, 37(5):1119-1129.
[15]  Eckhardta K, Ulbrichb U.Potential impacts of climate change on ground water recharge and streamflow in acentral European low mountain range[J].Journal of Hydrology, 2003, 284(1/4):244-252.
[16]  张小咏, 李佳, 杨艳昭, 等.基于SWAT模型的长江源区径流模拟[J].西北林学院学报, 2012, 27(5):38-44. Zhang X Y, Li J, Yang Y Z, et al.Runoff simulation of the catchment of the headwaters of the Yangtze[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University, 2012, 27(5):38-44.
[17]  沈华东, 于革.青藏高原兹格塘错流域50年来湖泊水量对气候变化响应的模拟研究[J].地球科学与环境学报, 2011, 33(3):282-287. Shen H D, Yu G.Simulation study on hydrological response of water quantity to climate change in Zigetang lake of Tibetan Plateau during the past 50 years[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment, 2011, 33(3):282-287.
[18]  朱新军, 王中根, 李建新, 等.SWAT模型在漳卫河流域应用研究[J].地理科学研究进展, 2006, 25(5):105-111. Zhu X J, Wang Z G, Li J X, et al.Applications of SWAT model in Zhangwei River basin[J].Progress in Geography, 2006, 25(5):105-111.
[19]  蔡永明, 张科利, 李双才, 等.不同粒径制间土壤质地资料的转换问题研究[J].土壤学报, 2003, 40(4):511-517. Cai Y M, Zhang K L, Li S C, et al.Study on the conversion of different soils texture[J].Acta Pedologica Sinica, 2003, 40(4):511-517.
[20]  吕喜玺, 沈荣明.土壤可蚀性因子K值的初步研究[J].水土保持学报, 1992, 6(1):63-70. Lü X X, Shen R M.A preliminary study on the values K of soil erosibility factor[J].Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 1992, 6(1):63-70.
[21]  Morris M D.Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experiments[J].Technometrics, 1991, 33(2):161-174.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133