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财贸经济  2014 

技术进步、贸易波动与服务业增长

, PP. 125-136

Keywords: 技术进步,服务技术外溢,服务外包

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Abstract:

本文通过扩展Grossman-Rossi-Hansberg模型,分析了技术进步对服务业与服务贸易相关性的影响机制。研究发现:(1)静态上,技术进步推动服务外包的发展,不同外包形式的发展速度取决于不同分离技术的相对进步程度;(2)动态上,技术进步对服务业与服务贸易相关性的影响程度取决于市场开放度、服务业发展水平和服务业技术密集度;(3)通讯技术和服务业R&D投入通过全要素生产率的上升推动服务业与服务贸易相关性指数的提高。实证部分进一步采用跨国产业面板数据证明了理论部分的结论。本文最后提出对我国服务业产业结构调整与贸易结构优化协调推进的政策建议。

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