8、Albert, J、H、and S、Chib, Bayes Inference via Gibbs Sampling of Autoregressive Time Series Subject to Markov Mean and Variance Shifts、 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , Vol、11, No、1, January 1993, pp、1-15.
[4]
9、Bergman, M、, How Similar Are European Business Cycles? Economic Policy Research Unit Working Paper, Series No、2004-13,2004.
[5]
10、Camilla Mastromarco and Ulrich Woitek, Regional Business Cycles in Italy、 Computational Statistics & Data Analysis , Vol、52, No、2, October 2007, pp、907-918.
[6]
11、Chauvet, M、and Hamilton, J、D、, Dating Business Cycle Turning Points、NBER Working Papers, No、11422, 2005.
[7]
12、Hall, V、B、and McDermott C、J、, Regional Business Cycles in New Zealand: Do They Exist? What Might Drive Them? ERSA Conference Papers from European Regional Science Association, 2007.
[8]
13、Hamilton, J、D、, A New Approach to The Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and The Business Cycle、 Econometrica , Vol、57, No、2, March 1989, pp、357-384
[9]
14.Hamilton, J、D、, Calling Recessions in Real Time、NBER Working Paper, No、16162, 2010.
[10]
15、Harding, D、and Pagan, A、, Dissecting the Cycle:A Methodological Investigation、 Journal of Monetary Economics , Vol、49, No、2 , March 2002, pp、365-381.
[11]
16、Kim, C、J、and C、R、Nelson, Business Cycle Turning Points, a New Coincident Index, and Tests of Duration Dependence Based on a Dynamic Factor Model with Regime Switching、 The Review of Economics and Statistics , Vol、80, No、2, May 1998, pp、188-201.
[12]
17、Kim, C、J、, J、Morley, and J、Piger, Nonlinearity and the Permanent Effects of Recessions、 Journal of Applied Econometrics , Vol、20, No、2, March 2005, pp、291-309.
[13]
18、Owyang, M、T、, J、Piger and H、J、Wall, Business Cycle Phases in U、S、States、 Review of conomics and Statistics, Vol、87, No、4, November 2005, pp、604-616.
[14]
19、Owyang, M、T、, and H、J、Wall, Structural Breaks and Regional Disparities in the Transmission of Monetary Policy、Federal Reserve Bank of St、Louis Working Paper, No、2003-008B, 2003.
[15]
20、Poncet Sandra, Are Chinese Provinces Forming an Optimal Currency Area? Magnitude and Determinants of Business Cycles within China、Working Paper, 2004.
[16]
21、Wall, H、J、, Regional Business Cycle Phases in Japan、 Federal Reserve Bank of St、Louis Review , Vol、89, No、1, January/February 2007, pp、61-76.
[17]
22、Zheng, T、G、, Teng, Y、, and T、Song, Business Cycle Asymmetry in China:Evidence from Friedman’s Plucking Model、 China & World Economy , Vol、18, No、4, July 2010, pp、103-120.
