Yucheng. Global climate is warming or cooling?—An interview with the International Meteorological Organization (IMO) award winner, China academician Qin Dahe[J]. Sci-tech Innovarions and Brands, 2011, 47(5): 12-15.[李玉成. 全球气候: 变暖还是变冷——访世界气象组织(IMO)奖获得者、中国科学院院士秦大河[J]. 科技创新与品牌, 2011, 47(5): 12-15.]
Climate change 2013: The physical science basis[M]∥Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2013.
[4]
Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation[M]∥A Special Report of Working Groups 1 and 2 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2012.
[5]
Tao, Xie Li’ an. Study on progress of the trends and physical causes of extreme precipitation in China during the last 50 years[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2014, 29(5): 577-589.[高涛, 谢立安. 近50年来中国极端降水趋势与物理成因研究综述[J]. 地球科学进展, 2014, 29(5):577-589. ]
[6]
Weihong, Fu Jiaolan, Zhang Weiwei, et al. Changes in mean climate and extreme climate in China during the last 40 years[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2007, 22(7): 673-684.[钱维宏, 符娇兰, 张玮玮, 等. 近40年中国平均气候与极值气候变化的概述[J]. 地球科学进展, 2007, 22(7): 673-684. ]
[7]
Guolin, Hou Wei, Zhi Rong, et al. Detection, Diagnosis and Predictability Research of Extreme Climate Events[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2012.[封国林, 侯威, 支蓉, 等. 极端气候事件的检测、诊断与可预测性研究[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2012. ]
[8]
Yichang, Dong Wenjie, He Yong. Progress of the study of extreme weather and climate events at the beginning of the twenty first century[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2007, 22(10): 1 066-1 075.[胡宜昌, 董文杰, 何勇. 21世纪初极端天气气候事件研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2007, 22(10): 1 066-1 075.]
[9]
Ning, Sun Zhaobo, Zeng Gang. Change of extreme temperatures in China during 1955-2005[J]. Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, 2008, 31 (1): 123-128.[张宁, 孙照渤, 曾刚. 1955—2005年中国极端气温变化[J].南京气象学院学报, 2008, 31(1): 123-128. ]
[10]
Panmao, Pan Xiaohua. Trends in temperature extremes during 1951-1999 in China[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2003, 30(17): 1 913-1 916.
[11]
P M, Zhang X B, Wan H, et al. Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China[J]. Journal of Climate, 2005, 18: 1 096-1 108.
[12]
Kang, Liu Sheng, Bai Peng, et al. The Yellow River Basin becomes wetter or drier? The case as indicated by mean precipitation and extremes during 1961-2012[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2014, doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1138-7.
[13]
Qiong, Zhang Mingjun, Wang Shengjie, et al. Extreme temperature events in Yangtze River Basin during 1962-2011[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013, 68(5): 611-625.[王琼, 张明军, 王圣杰, 等. 1962—2011年长江流域极端气温事件分析[J]. 地理学报, 2013, 68(5): 611-625. ]
[14]
Dunxian, Xia Jun, Zhang Yongyong, et al. The trend analysis and ststistical distribution of extreme rainfall events in the Huaihe River Basin in the past 50 years[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2011, 66(9): 1 200-1 210.[佘敦先, 夏军, 张永勇, 等, 近50年来淮河流域极端降水的时空变化及统计特征[J]. 地理学报, 2011, 66(9): 1 200-1 210. ]
[15]
Juntai, Zhang Qiang, Chen Xiaohong, et al. Spatial and temperal evoluation characteristics of extreme rainfalls in the Pearl River Basin[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2011, 26(4): 24-34.[彭俊台, 张强, 陈晓宏, 等. 珠江流域极端降雨时空演变特征分析[J]. 灾害学, 2011, 26(4): 24-34. ]
[16]
Baolong, Zhang Mingjun, Wei Junlin, et al. The change in extreme events of temperature and precipitation over Northwest China in recent 50 years[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2012, 27 (10): 1 720-1 733.[汪宝龙, 张明军, 魏军林, 等. 西北地区近50a气温和降水极端事件的变化特征[J]. 自然资源学报, 2012, 27(10): 1 720-1 733. ]
[17]
Qiang, Li Jianfeng, Chen Xiaohong, et al. Spatial variability of probability distribution of extreme precipitation in Xinjiang[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2011, 66(1): 3-12.[张强, 李剑锋, 陈晓宏, 等. 基于Copula函数的新疆极端降水概率时空变化特征[J]. 地理学报, 2011, 66(1): 3-12. ]
[18]
Guoxiong, Lin Hai, Zou Xiaolei, et al. Research on global climate change and scientific data[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2014, 29 (1): 15-22.[吴国雄, 林海, 邹晓蕾, 等. 全球气候变化研究与科学数据[J]. 地球科学进展, 2014, 29 (1): 15-22. ]
[19]
Zhaoli, Chen Xiaohong, Huang Guoru. Spatio-temporal change characteristics of mean temperature in the Pearl River Basin during 1961-2000[J]. Tropical Geography, 2007, 27(4): 289-294.[王兆礼, 陈晓宏, 黄国如. 近40年来珠江流域平均气温时空演变特征[J]. 热带地理, 2007, 27(4): 289-294. ]
[20]
Zhaoli, Chen Xiaohong, Zhang Ling, et al. Spatio-temporal change characteristics of precipitation in the Pearl River Basin in recent 40 years[J]. Journal of China Hydrology, 2006, (6): 71-75.[王兆礼, 陈晓宏, 张灵, 等. 近40年来珠江流域降水量的时空演变特征[J]. 水文, 2006, (6): 71-75. ]
[21]
T C. Climate change indices[J]. WMO Bulletin, 2005, 54 (2): 83-86.
[22]
K, Timlin M S. EI Nino/southern oscillation behavior since 1871 as diagnosed in a extended multivariate ENSO index (MEI.ext)[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2011, 31: 1 074-1 087.
[23]
S, Wang C Y. The Mann-Kendall test modified by effective sample size to detect trend in serially correlated hydrological series[J]. Water Resources Management, 2004, 18: 201-218.
[24]
C, Grimvall A. Performance of partial Mann-Kendall tests in the presence of covariates[J]. Environmetrics, 2002, 13: 71-84.
[25]
E M, Vogel R M, Kroll C N. Trends in floods and low flows in the United States: Impact of spatial correlation[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2000, 240(1/2): 90-105.
[26]
B, Lang M. Use of a Gaussian copula for multivariate extreme value analysis: Some case studies in hydrology[J]. Advances in Water Resources, 2007, 30: 897-912.
[27]
S, Wang C Y. Regional streamflow trend detection with consideration of both temporal and spatial correlation[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2002, 22: 933-946.
[28]
Yongping, Zheng Hang, John Langford, et al. A knowledge co-production system for river basin management under changing environment[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2012, 27 (1): 52-59.[Wei Yongping, 郑航, John Langford, 等. 论变化环境下流域管理的知识创新[J]. 地球科学进展, 2012, 27 (1): 52-59. ]
[29]
Chansheng. Watershed science and water resources management[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2012, 27 (7): 705-711.[贺缠生. 流域科学与水资源管理[J]. 地球科学进展, 2012, 27 (7): 705-711. ]
[30]
Qiang, Xu Chongyu, Zhang Zengxin. Observed changes of drought/wetness episodes in the Pearl River Basin, China, using the standardized precipitation index and aridity index[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2009, 98: 89-99.
[31]
Mingzhong, Zhang Qiang, Chen Xiaohong. Spatial-temperal patterns of drought risk across the Pearl River Basin[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012, 2012, 67 (1): 83-92.[肖名忠, 张强, 陈晓宏. 基于多变量概率分析的珠江流域干旱特征研究[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67 (1): 83-92. ]