|
OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用：99美元
|
|
|
|
近40年中国暖季日气温及其异常强度变化趋势
DOI: 10.11821/xb20037s003, PP. 21-30
Keywords: 逐日气温,气候变率,趋势,中国
Abstract:
利用中国大陆453个测站1961~2000年的逐日平均气温资料，通过标准差和Skewness系数计算日气温距平强度,反映中国近40年来暖季(5-9月)气候变化趋势。近40年中国暖季增温的幅度有南北差异，以黄河流域为界，北边高纬增温更强烈;平均气温趋势有前后两段的显著差别，大致在1970年代后期实现向增温趋势的转变;最强的增温出现在1990年代以后。多数区域气温反映出季节内气候变率增大，显示暖季日平均气温趋于大的涨落。日气温距平和降水有良好的对应关系。由于降水时的气温降幅较大，故暖季中天气过程的降温和持续高温一样是季节内气候变率的重要信号，这在低纬沿海地区(如华南、云南)尤为明显。
| [1] | WeiFY,CaoHX.DetectionoftheabruptchangeandtrendpredictionoftheairtemperatureinChina,theNorthHemisphereandtheGlobe.ScientiaAtmosphericaSinica,1995,19(2):140-148.
|
| [2] | [魏凤英,曹鸿兴.中国、北半球和全球的气温突变分析及其趋势预测研究.大气科学,1995,19(2):140-148.]
|
| [3] | DingYH,DaiXS.TemperaturevariationinChinaduringthelast100years.MeteorologicalMonthly,1994,12(1):19-26.
|
| [4] | [丁一汇,戴晓苏.中国近百年来的温度变化.气象,1994,12(1):19-26.]
|
| [5] | ZhangML,ZengSM,JiJJ.CharactersofregionaltemperatureinEastAsiaduringglobalwarmingperiod.ActaGeographicaSinica,1996,51(6):518-526.
|
| [6] | [章名立,曾少美,季劲钧.全球增暖过程中亚洲区域气候的特点.地理学报,1996,51(6):518-526.]
|
| [7] | QianWH,ZhuYF.ClimatechangeinChinafrom1880to1998anditsimpactontheenvironmentalcondition.ClimaticChange,2001,50(3):419-444.
|
| [8] | KatzeRW,BrownBG.Extremeeventsinanchangingclimate:variabilityismoreimportantthanaverage.ClimaticChange,1992,21(2):289-302.
|
| [9] | DingYH,ZhangJ,SongYF.Changesinweatherandclimateextremeeventsandtheirassociationwiththeglobalwarming.MeteorologicalMonthly,2002,28(3):3-7.
|
| [10] | RenFM,ZhaiPM.Changesofmaximumandminimumtemperaturesduringthepast40yearsinChina.ActaMeteorologicaSinica,1997,55(4):418-429.
|
| [11] | ZhaiPM,RenFM.StudyonchangeofChina'sextremetemperatureduring1951-1990.ScientiaAtmosphericaSinica,1998,22(2):216-227.
|
| [12] | GongDY,ChangHH,DongM.Intra-seasonalvariabilityofwintertimetemperatureoverEastAsia.InternationalJ.Climatology,2003.
|
| [13] | [严中伟,杨赤.JonesP.观测序列的不均一性对估算北京和上海平均温度和极端温度变化趋势的影响.大气科学进展,2001,18(3):309-322.]
|
| [14] | EpsteinES.Determiningtheoptimumnumberofharmonicstorepresentnormalsbasedonmultiyeardata.J.Climate,1991,4:1047-1051.
|
| [15] | IPCC,ClimaticChange,'92,'95:TheScienceofClimateChange.HoughtonJT,CallauderBA,VaroeySK(eds.).CambridgeUniv.Press,1992,1995.
|
| [16] | JonesPD,NewM,PakerDEetal.Surfaceairtemperatureanditschangeoverthepast150years.Rev.Geophys.,1999,37(2):173-200.
|
| [17] | IPCC.ClimaticChange1995:TechnicalSummaryoftheWorkingGroupIReport.HoughtonJT,FilhoLG,CallauderBAetal.(eds.).CambidgeUniv.Press,1996.48.
|
| [18] | [丁一汇,张锦,宋亚芳.天气和气候极端事件的联系及其与全球变暖的联系.气象,2002,28(3):3-7.]
|
| [19] | ZhaiPM,SunAJ,RenFMetal.ChangesofclimateextremesinChina.ClimaticChange,1999,42(2):203-218.
|
| [20] | [翟盘茂,任福民.中国近40年最高最低温度变化.气象学报,1997,55(4):418-429.]
|
| [21] | [任福民,翟盘茂.1951~1990年中国极端气温变化分析.大气科学,1998,22(2):216-227.]
|
| [22] | YanZW,JonesPD,MobergAetal.Recenttrendsinweatherandseasonalcycles,ananalysisofdailydatafromEuropeandChina.J.Geophy.Res.,2001,106:5234-5138.
|
| [23] | YanZW,YangC,JonesP.InfluenceofinhomogeneityontheestimationofmeanandextremetemperaturetrendinBeijingandShanghai.AdvanceinAtmosphericScience,2001,18(3):309-322.
|
| [24] | WilksDS.StatisticalMethodsintheAtmosphericSciences:AnIntroduction.SanDiego:AcademicPress,1995.468.
|
Full-Text
|
|
Contact Us
service@oalib.com QQ:3279437679 
WhatsApp +8615387084133
|
|
